
Matt Witheiler
5
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Aug 28, 2026
Matt Witheiler on Why Great Companies Don’t Have to Be AI Companies
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Peter HighHOST
Um, I wonder, uh, how you feel about that and also as somebody who's been investing for a while, um, how prior market cycles or innovation cycles, uh, from the internet to various, uh, cloud, cloud, mobile, et cetera, um, educate the way in which you think about the, the, the ways in which the, the, this may continue to evolve.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
I mean, we're, we're, we're living, we as a, uh, uh, investor class are living through market whiplash every single day when it comes to, to AI.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
Um, it's, it goes from very, very bullish to very bearish to very bullish in very rapid succession.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
Um, and so I think as an investor you need to think about, okay, what is your anchor? Like, what, what are you thinking about not where the waves are, but where will you be stationed across a, across a horizon? And I think, I believe that, that the, the, the fundamental anchor is AI is a transformational technology that is resulting in ROI positive spend.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And if you take that point of view, you take the point of view of, yeah, there'll be cycles, even very rapid cycles where the market is up, the market is down with respect to AI and technology, um, and that's okay because we're not taking a- Two-week view or a two-month view, we're taking a five, 10, and perhaps maybe 20-plus year view.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And I think with respect to AI, we believe that the long-term view, that anchor point, is that AI does represent a transformational technology shift, and that it will continue to accrete value over time, even though there may be this near-term whiplash around where the market is, is perceiving AI to be and where the, uh, the, the momentum may go going forward.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And with respect to kind of thinking through other cycles, I was an entrepreneur during the dot-com days, which was a blast.

Peter HighHOST
Uh, talk a bit, bit about how you, uh, help them shape that evolution to ensure that they are hitting the ground running once the white hot lights of the public market are fixed on them.
10AM Hour: Jefferies Chief Market Strategist, Investing in AI & Manhattan Rents Surge 8/21/26
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David FaberHOST
But do you have any concern at all that perhaps those growth rates are slowing a bit, even though they're still historic, and that that could contribute perhaps to a lack of investor enthusiasm?

Matt WitheilerGUEST
One is, even if they are slowing, we're talking about, to your point, slowing from absolutely phenomenal growth rates to maybe just phenomenal growth rates.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
I think you all reported that Anthropic eclipsed $65 billion of annualized revenue run rate in July.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And for reference, they started the year and have reported at $9 billion of ARR.
11AM Hour: ECB Forum Highlights, Anthropic Investor on Reversal of AI Model Ban & Alex Karp's Message to Wall Street 7/1/26
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Leslie PickerHOST
What do you make of what we've seen with SpaceX so far and just the overall IPO market?

Matt WitheilerGUEST
I mean, I think SpaceX is really a seminal event when it comes to IPOs of private companies.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And the reason I say that is we have now in the public market a $2.1 trillion public company that went from $0 of enterprise value to $2.1 trillion of market cap all in the private market.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And so I think the implications of that are, one, this narrative of everything in the private market is overvalued, is kind of put to bed to some degree.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And two, that this value creation opportunity that used to exist in the public markets has now been captured in some part by the private markets.
Leslie PickerHOST
How much of what we've seen with SpaceX can be extrapolated to some of the other massive private companies that are waiting in the wings?

Matt WitheilerGUEST
I think the performance of SpaceX suggests that you can have large companies go public at market caps that didn't used to be possible.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
But I also think part of SpaceX is Elon Magic Dust, which he has the unique opportunity and ability to convince the world that he can execute on a future that doesn't exist.
E385: Why Public Markets Need SpaceX, OpenAI & Anthropic
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Matt WitheilerGUEST
It's coming from the fact that hypergrowth companies are staying private longer, and if you look at the impact that we have seen in the public market as a result of this, if you exclude the AI specific companies in the public market, you take out the memory companies, you take out the neo clouds, you take out the segment of the public market that is growing very fast, and you look broadly at technology absent those names, the number is four public companies that are forecasting and have consensus forward revenue growth of thirty percent or more year over year.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
If you would've looked at that maybe even as recently as five or six years ago, the number of companies that would be forecasting north of thirty percent growth would've been at least ten X that.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And so the fact of the matter is, as companies stay private longer, an increasing amount of growth is only available in the private markets today.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And when these names, SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI, et cetera, ultimately come out, they will be a growth story for a public investor who has really struggled to get growth except in AI infrastructure names.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
And I think that's true for both the public investors on the institutional side, the Wellingtons of the world.

Matt WitheilerGUEST
I also think it's true for the retail investors because I think the retail investors are looking at, "How do I get exposure to these trends and to this growth without having to go buy a semiconductor play?"
15 MINS LATER
Meta Expands AI Compute Deal, Nvidia GTC Kicks Off
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Caroline HydeHOST
How do you- how are you telling your friends around a dinner party right now? [laughs]
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30:19Matt WitheilerGUEST
Obviously, sitting inside of Wellington, we have the benefit of seeing the full picture of what's going on in the public market versus what happens in the private market, and there definitely are instances where these SPVs may come into the private companies, and even the companies themselves aren't sure who's actually buying pieces of their shares.
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30:37Matt WitheilerGUEST
And I think what an interesting trend has been recently is we have seen the more in-demand companies really clamping down on the number of SPVs and the ability for SPVs to come into their financings.
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30:50Matt WitheilerGUEST
Because they know in the private markets, they get to choose who goes on their cap table.
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30:56Matt WitheilerGUEST
When they go public, anybody can buy their shares, and so the companies on the private side are really starting to clamp down on, "Who am I comfortable with coming into my cap table via an SPV?"
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32:00Ed LudlowHOST
Matt, what's Wellington gonna do in the late stage space for the balance of this year? Like, w- with, with the context of all that environment that, that, that's going on, what's the strategy?

