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Matt Dobson

Matt Dobson

Head of European Energy Forecasting at MetDesk, energy meteorologist specializing in power trading forecasts

Jun 30, 2026

12:53
[laughs]
12:53
So I'm, I'm quite excited about this one 'cause it could be the biggest El Niño we've had in maybe a century.
12:58
Um, I mean, the, the reliable data goes back to 1950.
13:02
Um- How are we able to make that statement already? Well, El Niño starts under the water in the, in the tropical Pacific.
13:08
So imagine you're in South America, you go to the west of South America, you've got the, the big Pacific there.
13:13
It's the tropics, and El Niño's when it becomes very, very warm, um, between Australia and, and South America, effectively, when the sea surface warms up.
13:21
There's a lot of energy loading up at the moment to make this maybe the biggest one we've seen since 2015.

14 MINS LATER

27:21
Mm.
12:52
[laughs]
12:53
[laughs] So I'm, I'm quite excited about this one, 'cause it could be the biggest El Niño we've had in maybe a century.
12:58
Um, I mean, the, the reliable data goes back to 1950.
13:02
Um, how are we able to make that statement already? Well, El Niño starts under the water in the, in the tropical Pacific.
13:08
So imagine you're in South America, you go to the west of South America, you've got the, the big Pacific there.
13:13
It's the tropics.
13:14
And El Niño is when it becomes very, very warm, um, between Australia and, and South America, effectively, when the sea surface warms up.

14 MINS LATER

27:21
Mm.

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