L
Lou Grilli
5
APPEARANCES
1
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012
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Jan 13, 2026
2026: Do Markets Still Hate Uncertainty?
8:49
32:28

Glen SarvadyHOST
Are you kind of any more quantifiable than just the notion of a bubble not popping?
L
8:53Lou GrilliGUEST
All right, I guess here's my oversimplified, I was afraid you were going to ask that.
L
9:06Lou GrilliGUEST
Sam Altman has publicly stated that it won't be profitable until 2030, maybe 2029.
23 MINS LATER

Glen SarvadyHOST
Anyone else, Lou, on that or any other on your list? I got one more and then we'll jump into Bitcoin.
Turning the Page… or Marking a Checkpoint?
L
12:22Lou GrilliGUEST
So not specifically about the government shutdown, but another thing that was a government thing was Liberation Day, April 2nd, which caused a lot of market angst.
L
12:42Lou GrilliGUEST
April of 2020, a little bit later that same month, Jamie Dimon stated that a U.S. recession was a likely outcome.
7 MINS LATER
Talkin' Turkey with the Team
L
4:35Lou GrilliGUEST
All right, so I have a number of things, but the first one is, and this is much more recent, I am grateful for credit unions stepping up and helping out during the government shutdown.
L
4:45Lou GrilliGUEST
And I say this for a somewhat selfish reason, which I'll explain in just a second.
L
4:53Lou GrilliGUEST
But many credit unions I've seen around the country offering things like paycheck assistance programs, interest-free loans with automatic repayment once direct deposit starts, meals for members, those members who are missing SNAP payments, getting gift cards to local grocery stores, donations to community food banks, which were being drawn down by all the federal workers who weren't getting paid just so much.
7 MINS LATER
It's a Small (and Chaotic) World After All
11:29
17:59

Glen SarvadyHOST
If they think of other credit unions as their competitors, does that erode the spirit of cooperation? I mean, I think the piece that I feel is such a strong differentiator here in the U.S.
L
11:51Lou GrilliGUEST
In parallel to a typical breakout session, they gathered people who wanted to attend this into groups of eight.
L
12:02Lou GrilliGUEST
So CEOs with other CEOs, staff with other staff, in my case, volunteers with other volunteers from different countries.
L
12:10Lou GrilliGUEST
And that's where we discussed mergers and a shrinkage of number of credit unions as one of the biggest topics.
6 MINS LATER

Glen SarvadyHOST
It's that last one that I've been totally fixated on in terms of open banking, but the fact that they're seeing common cause, that's pretty powerful.
Newborns, Tips and Decoding the New Rules
30:37
L
22:07Lou GrilliGUEST
It seems like the information, though, is a lot more readily available than in the case of the Illinois Prohibition Act, where the burden that's placed on businesses or ISO to either change the routing or change the authorization amount into taxes plus tip versus the remainder for real-time interchange calculation or...
L
22:30Lou GrilliGUEST
they left this rebate route in the Interchange Prohibition Act where the merchant basically brings the shoebox of receipts to presumably their merchant acquirer or a third party who specializes in, somebody who specializes in obtaining rebates for the interchange paid on tips and taxes.
L
22:46Lou GrilliGUEST
To me, the ability to discern Wages versus tips in the first case that no tax on tips versus table to separate out taxes plus tip versus the rest of the credit card charge.
L
23:03Lou GrilliGUEST
That seems like a big order of magnitude difference in data collection and data reporting.
7 MINS LATER

Glen SarvadyHOST
What are you kind of focusing on there? I think, are there certain things that you've seen in the agenda that particularly kind of strike your curiosity?