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Kim Catechis

Kim Catechis

Aug 4, 2026

15:30
Who are the winners here, and ultimately, who are the losers? And, and when I say losers, does that mean, you know, our relationship with our former allies? Who are the winners and the losers from your vantage point?
15:44
I think nobody really wins outright because everybody got hurt.
15:49
You could argue that on a political level, Iran's power structure was set up deliberately like a lot of these autocratic countries with competing power bases that don't really trust each other to kind of minimize the opportunity of a coup.
16:05
So you had the Revolutionary Guard, you had the plain vanilla normal army, and you had the internal security guys, and over them was the ayatollah.
16:14
An unintended consequence of this war has been that it seems that the Revolutionary Guard basically wiped the floor with everybody else, so they are now in charge.
16:24
Now, on one level, you could say that's a good thing for everybody else 'cause we know what we're dealing with.
16:29
On the other side, it's not great because these are the guys that are most extreme, right [chuckles]? And they're now in a weakened position.

5 MINS LATER

21:43
Are there lessons to be learned for China and Taiwan or maybe other areas of interest like Cuba, which is another area that the US has taken a certain amount of aggression with?

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