J
Joy Foo
Markets editor at ICIS in Singapore, covering Asian propylene and petrochemical markets and co-hosting ICIS chemical podcasts.
2
APPEARANCES
1
PODCASTS
012
DEC 30
JAN 6
JAN 13
JAN 20
JAN 27
FEB 3
FEB 10
FEB 17
FEB 24
MAR 3
MAR 10
MAR 17
MAR 24
MAR 31
APR 7
APR 14
APR 21
APR 28
MAY 5
MAY 12
MAY 19
MAY 26
JUN 2
JUN 9
JUN 16
JUN 23
JUN 30
JUL 7
JUL 14
JUL 21
JUL 28
AUG 4
AUG 11
AUG 18
AUG 25
SEP 1
SEP 8
SEP 15
SEP 22
SEP 29
OCT 6
OCT 13
OCT 20
OCT 27
NOV 3
NOV 10
NOV 17
NOV 24
DEC 1
DEC 8
DEC 15
DEC 22
DEC 29
JAN 5
JAN 12
JAN 19
JAN 26
FEB 2
FEB 9
FEB 16
FEB 23
MAR 2
MAR 9
MAR 16
MAR 23
MAR 30
APR 6
APR 13
APR 20
APR 27
MAY 4
MAY 11
MAY 18
MAY 25
JUN 1
JUN 8
JUN 15
JUN 22
JUN 29
JUL 6
JUL 13
JUL 20
JUL 27
AUG 3
AUG 10
AUG 17
AUG 24
AUG 31
SEP 7
SEP 14
SEP 21
SEP 28
OCT 5
OCT 12
OCT 19
OCT 26
Oct 29, 2026
Episode 1506: PODCAST: Supply uncertainties remain key talking point in 2027 Asian C3 contracts
S
1:07Seymour ChenxiaHOST
So Joy, what are you seeing in the Asian market right now? And how would you describe the current market sentiment and liquidity? And have you heard about any early indications for next year's term contract during the conference?
J
1:27Joy FooGUEST
The market entered the annual Oliphants Conference on a very bullish note, with Northeast Asian propylene prices reaching a fresh 2026 high and surpassing the previous peak seen in April.
J
1:40Joy FooGUEST
Amid very sharp volatility in upstream crude prices and China's domestic propylene market, participants have shown a greater preference for formula-based discussions.
J
1:51Joy FooGUEST
So recent deals for November shipments have been concluded at premiums of around $50 per ton, sharply higher than the single digit premium seen in 2026 term contracts as you have mentioned.
J
2:03Joy FooGUEST
So I think negotiations for 2027 term contracts are expected to be more protracted with bullish indications from recent formula-based deals likely to influence seller expectations.
J
2:16Joy FooGUEST
And the market also broadly agrees that export availability from South Korea and Japan would decline next year amid anticipated domestic supply shortfalls linked to cracker rationalization.
J
2:30Joy FooGUEST
However, the supply-demand balance in the Ulsan region in South Korea remains one of the major uncertainties, largely depending on the start-up of S.Oil's Shaheen Cracker, which is currently expected to be in early 2027.
S
5:50Seymour ChenxiaHOST
As the import supply of methanol from Iran is yet to resume normal, MTO producers tend to plan and discuss their contract volumes of propylene based on the assumption of keeping units running at the lowest rate or keeping their units shut.
Episode 1504: PODCAST: 2027 Asia olefins, styrenics contract talks kick off in Guiyang, China
J
4:38Joy FooGUEST
The propylene market is entering the contract season on a bullish footing as just ahead of the ANMOR contract season conference.
J
4:46Joy FooGUEST
Propylene prices hit a 2026 high supported by concentrated buying requirements and tightening supply.
J
4:54Joy FooGUEST
So this has set a bullish tone for negotiations as we see in the Conference so far, although compressed downstream margins and uncertainty over the 2027 supply-demand balance remain key concerns.
J
5:09Joy FooGUEST
So market participants are watching closely for the timeliness of new plant startups, operating reliability and anticipated demand growth from some downstream expansions.
J
5:19Joy FooGUEST
The second focus is definitely that contract discussions are likely to be more protracted this year, as key Northeast Asian exporters anticipate lower term and overall export volumes next year in 2027. due to expected south korean supply shortfalls linked to cracker rationalization and this has fueled a very strong bullish indication from suppliers however downstream affordability and potential feedstock constraints are still clouding the outlook and a key market concern is the startup timing of s oil's shaheen cracker which has so far been delayed from the fourth quarter of 2026 to the first quarter of 2027 based on current estimates The startup is expected to turn Ulsan in South Korea long, which is in contrary to a tighter outlook in Yeosu.