J
Jorge Molinero
4
APPEARANCES
1
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012
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Oct 15, 2026
Hormuz on edge, cautious signals beneath the surface.
35:23
35:33
35:51
36:00

Jorge MolineroGUEST
Yeah, let's start with, um, with a summary of the last, the last trading days and weeks.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
But overall, if we look at, uh, the movement in the naphtha market since early October, the market has been trading higher, both on time spreads and cracks in Europe and in Asia, also on the gas differentials, and also on the gas differentials in the US.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
And the main driver, well, taking, taking the, the flows that are coming out of the, of the US, the recovery is in line with some other products, but is slightly lower.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
So currently, the AE plus Red Sea is exporting two point five million barrels, uh, a month, billion tons, sorry, versus an average of four point five.
Episode 113: ICE gasoil cracks remain over $85/bbl. China's export ban cuts deep
8:51
9:03

Jorge MolineroGUEST
The market is well supported in a rebound during the last week, but the main focus is on East Coast right now.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
So we will be looking at November contract from now onwards, but October has been positive during the whole week.
Episode 110: Houthis seize Mocha. Brent breaks $100. What now?
22:44
22:55
23:02
23:08

Jorge MolineroGUEST
Yeah, so let's start with a small review of the U.S., Nick has already shown our vision on it.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
We saw some correction in the beginning of the week, but prices are higher again.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
The stocks remain very low and the managed money net learning positions keep growing.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
And if we look at the physical market, so there is no clear mechanism of where the ceiling could be because the TARB is closed due to the strong differential between RBOB and EBOB.
J
27:30In the European section, you mentioned GASNAP briefly, but any strong movement also on the NAFTA side of that?
Episode 104: Brent whipsaws and USGC 3:2:1 margins explode. The diesel crisis behind it
9:55
10:06

Jorge MolineroGUEST
despite the rumor of a deal and despite Path 3 stocks have climbed during the last couple of weeks.

Jorge MolineroGUEST
And as you say, we've seen some improvement in Path 3 stocks, but overall the picture is really bullish from the stock side.

