J
Jonathan O'Brien
CEO and co-founder of Positive Purchasing (Plymouth, UK), a global procurement and negotiation SaaS and training company; best-selling author and host of The Procurement Show podcast.
8
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Sep 2, 2026
Bonus: The Great Housing Debate
J
5:00Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
So this is the basic problem with renting right now, is that there are a lot of renters looking at not many homes.
J
5:06Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
We have a situation like this, and we call it a supply problem because the number of homes available, the supply, does not meet the number of renters who want to rent, the demand.
J
5:16Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
We could call this mismatch a demand problem, but I think those in the room with me would agree this is not the right framing.
J
5:22Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
We shouldn't think of young people coming to the city for university, new migrant families, or downsizers as a problem.
J
5:32Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
The problem is that as a society, we have not delivered enough homes for those people to live in.
5 MINS LATER
FULL SHOW: 4BC Mornings with Jason Mathews, July 14th, 2026
44:23
J
43:18Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
wrong?Yeah, so Brisbane, uh, similar to Melbourne, has done a pretty good job, uh, with building out a CBD.
J
43:26Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Only really Brisbane and Melbourne have, have kind of built significant amounts of, of residential land in the CBD.
J
43:34Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Um, you know, I'm really impressed by kind of what's going on on, like, Elizabeth Street.
J
43:38Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
You know, it's much more cleaned up than it was kind of when I was a youth, you know, uh, parading around the streets, as it were.

Jason MatthewsHOST
But does there need to be a tweak in how we approach, I guess, what we call character zoning?
The death of the Queenslander? Why experts say Brisbane must flatten its history to survive
4:14

Jason MatthewsHOST
But does there need to be a tweak in how we approach, I guess, what we call character zoning?
J
4:23Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
It's kind of one of the most restrictive sort of broadly laid out planning controls in the country.
J
4:29Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Look, I think Brisbane is going to have to reckon with the fact that, you know, you've got hundreds of thousands of Queenslanders.
J
4:38Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Brisbane's going to have to reckon with the fact that probably you can't keep every single Queenslander.
Scotland in the lap of the gods: Ken Early in Miami, the Neymar tribute act, and the Disgrace of Gijón
J
62:22Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I mean, if you sit down and look at the whole thing again, the first half is perfectly normal.
J
62:35Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Walter Schachner of Austria gets brought down in the box for a clear penalty that the referee missed.
3AW Mornings with Tom Elliott - Tue 26 May, 2026 - Full Show
J
65:27Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think you were right in the introduction to say that it's too early to tell.
J
65:31Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think there's a reality that in a lot of house price models, a lot of house prices or some portion of house prices can be explained by the expectation that they will always go up.
J
65:46Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think there's a real potential that right now we're seeing price discovery.
J
65:55Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
People are working out, well, okay, how many people are bidding on new versus existing stock.
'There are losers as well as winners': Trends predict housing prices are taking a downturn
3:41
J
2:34Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think you were right in the introduction to say that it's too early to tell.
J
2:39Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think there's a reality that in a lot of house price models, a lot of house prices or some portion of house prices can be explained by the expectation that they will always go up, right? There's sort of a feedback loop, a reflexivity in the markets.
J
2:54Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think there's a real potential that right now we're seeing price discovery.
J
3:03Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
People are working out, well, okay, how many people are bidding on new versus existing stock.
J
3:09Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
I think I would like to believe that we are seeing a stabilization at the very least of house prices, a reduction in real terms.

Tom ElliottHOST
So you might see that investors and first home buyers are actually still bidding on the same type of property that is a vacant block of land on which they might build the house.
3AW Mornings with Tom Elliott - Mon 04 May, 2026 - Full Show
25:30
28:38

Tom ElliottHOST
Now, it seems to me that if the government stopped putting [laughs] taxation on those houses, that they would be a lot cheaper to build.
J
25:36Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Yeah, so the bulk of that 30 to 40% number is in stamp duty, and stamp duty is an incredibly bad tax.
J
25:45Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
It'll make you, it'll make it harder one day, Tom, for you to do your downsizing.
J
25:49Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Um, it is a, it is a tax that incentivizes people to stay put, and it is a tax that is unfairly levied, as you've pointed out, on, you know, new home buyers and new homes.
J
25:59Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Um, I mean, both I think Labor and the Libs are taking, um, various versions of a policy of cutting stamp duty, uh, for, um, first home buyers.
J
26:10Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
So I think everyone's kind of recognized that, that, that that tax, uh, that tax problem is, is very real.

Tom ElliottHOST
What if we changed that mentality and said, "No," like a lot of cities around the world, your first house will be a high-rise apartment?
'Delivering the most homes possible': YIMBY lead supports big tax changes in budget
2:43
5:52

Tom ElliottHOST
Now, it seems to me that if the government stopped [laughs] putting taxation on those houses, that they would be a lot cheaper to build.
J
2:50Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
So the bulk of that 30% to 40% number is in stamp duty, and stamp duty is an incredibly bad tax.
J
2:59Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
It'll make you, it'll make it harder one day, Tom, for you to do your downsizing.
J
3:03Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Um, it is a, it is a tax that incentivizes people to stay put, and it is a tax that is unfairly levied, as you've pointed out, on, you know, new home buyers and new homes.
J
3:13Jonathan O'BrienGUEST
Um, I mean, both I think Labor and the Libs are taking, um, various versions of a policy of cutting stamp duty, uh, for, um, first home buyers.

Tom ElliottHOST
What if we changed that mentality and said, "No, like a lot of cities around the world, your first house will be a high-rise apartment"?

