J
Jonathan Barrett
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APPEARANCES
1
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May 17, 2026
Coles caught red handed, so what next?
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9:05Noor HaidarHOST
Mm.
J
9:05Jonathan BarrettGUEST
Now, during this inflationary period, what's happening is they start doing this in late 2021 and then very aggressively in 2022.
J
9:19Jonathan BarrettGUEST
So for example, by early 2022, Coles has put in place a system whereby they need to sell a product for 12 weeks at the new kinda normal price to create that "was" price before discounting it.
J
9:39Jonathan BarrettGUEST
But then by about March that year, they had reduced that down to four weeks, and that's when we get into this circumstance of a shopper going to Coles and paying more for a discounted item than they were just four or five weeks earlier.
J
9:55Jonathan BarrettGUEST
This is actually the thing that ultimately tripped Coles up, in that they were changing their model or their guardrails so quickly and so aggressively at that time.
J
10:06Jonathan BarrettGUEST
And that just raised the question, what's the point of having them? If Coles had previously thought, "We need to keep these prices for 12 weeks," and now it's four weeks, like, what is the purpose of those guardrails given they're not set in stone? That is, that they can just change them at will.
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12:00Noor HaidarHOST
So on reputation, Jonathan, how much will this damage-Coles' reputation
How bad is the Australian economy going to get?
8:24

Nour HaydarHOST
If it persists and transport and delivery costs, uh, keep rising, how could that impact food supply, the price of other essential goods, housing?
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8:40Jonathan BarrettGUEST
So we have a stagnant, uh, a stagnant economy, uh, but rising inflation, and it's a very difficult thing for both central bankers, but also for governments to manage because looking at it from an interest rate perspective, if they raise rates to try and combat inflation, then they run the risk of running the economy into the ground and leading to more joblessness.
J
9:07Jonathan BarrettGUEST
And if they kinda ease on the rates to help the economy, then they run the risk that inflation gets out of control.
J
9:16Jonathan BarrettGUEST
So the thing with oil or the refined products like jet fuel and unleaded petrol and diesel, is that it just goes everywhere.
J
9:27Jonathan BarrettGUEST
Anything that you transport, anything that uses freight, anything that actually uses that to make a product, well, the price will rise.
J
9:37Jonathan BarrettGUEST
And as we learned in the pandemic, in the inflationary years after that, it's always the consumer that that lands on.
Can Australia avoid the worst of the oil shock?
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7:10Jonathan BarrettGUEST
So initially, when I talk about the market or you could look at the stock market, people thought this would be a very short-lived event.
9 MINS LATER