
Jon Spainhour
Senior Dairy Market Advisor at Ever.Ag and regular GDT Review analyst on The Ever.Ag Podcast.
4
APPEARANCES
1
PODCASTS
012
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Oct 20, 2026
GDT Review: Global Dairy Prices Rise as US Cheese Loses Export Competitiveness
1:31
2:02

Jon SpainhourGUEST
powder is one of those products that for quite a while now has been the futures have been suggesting we're going to get a rally when it's really underperformed versus expectations.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
I don't think anybody's going to see it as really a disappointment, but I guess the Futures were really outpacing the actual result of this again.
GDT Review: Skim Milk Powder Climbs as Cheese Prices Decline
0:44
0:59
1:12
1:21
4:26

Jon SpainhourGUEST
Skim milk powder on this auction was up 4.3%, coming in at $1.74, and that is several auctions in a row now that skim milk has been moving higher.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
In the last one, two, three, four, five, six auctions, skim milk powder has been up five of those auctions and now trading at $1.74 price.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
Whole milk powder futures were looking for about another 7.5% to 8% increase, and only got 1.1% of an increase.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
So yeah, higher is higher, but this is probably the third auction in a row that whole milk powders have been looking for this big rally that just hasn't come about.

Cody KosterHOST
Are there different regions that kind of stick out in your mind of, "Hey, this is usually what happens this time of year," or maybe a little bit of slower for this time of year?
GDT Review: Cheddar Rebounds as Southeast Asian Demand Surges
0:56
1:05
1:17

Brian FletcherHOST
What were your expectations or the market's expectations going into this auction and how did it play out today?

Jon SpainhourGUEST
I think if we just want to look at it through what were the expectations, I think the market was generally looking for some higher pricing in the powders, lower pricing in fats and cheese.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
I'm not sure exactly what the market was expecting, but when we look at what we actually got from a result, skim milk powder came in negative 0.2% at an average price of about $1.67. That'll be about the same price for both Europe and New Zealand.
GDT Review: Global Dairy Trade Rises 2.3% as China Returns to the Market
5:21
5:28
5:37
5:56
6:09
8:09

Cody KosterHOST
If we move to the purchases by region, John, there seems to be a pretty good standout in there today.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
Yeah, this one, I was looking at it and was like, it is very difficult to catch the rhythm of the GDT market participants.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
If we really dig into here, we will see that the Middle East, who has been a pretty decent buyer on the GDT over the course of the last few months, actually was 21% lower on an event over event performance, 3% higher than last year.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
When we get to Southeast Asia, they have been a standout buyer consistently this whole summer.

Jon SpainhourGUEST
However, when we get to China, who has been extremely lackluster this whole time, They were up 21% event over event and up 50% year over year.

Cody KosterHOST
John, is there anything else that stood out to you for this GDT specifically today?