
James M. Scott
Military historian
13
APPEARANCES
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Nov 7, 2026
Could World War II Have Ended Without the Atomic Bomb?
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James M. ScottGUEST
I mean, really, the big turning point is the fall of the Mariana Islands in the summer of 44.

James M. ScottGUEST
And I think at that point, it really because the Mariana Islands were and that's Guam, Saipan and Tinian.

James M. ScottGUEST
possession from the Spanish-American War, but the Japanese had had Saipan and Tinian after the end of World War I.
47 MINS LATER
500. Empire of Ashes: The Final Months of the Pacific War and Today's Nuclear Risks
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Saul DavidHOST
But even before then, he's pushing out the peace feelers, isn't he? So why is he doing that?

James M. ScottGUEST
As we know, the fall of the Mariana Islands in the summer of 1944 is really a pretty shocking military event for the Japanese.

James M. ScottGUEST
Of course, Saipan and Tinian had been possessions that Japan had had for many years.

James M. ScottGUEST
And they were also put Japan, you know, the loss of those would put Japan within range of American bombers.

James M. ScottGUEST
So in the summer of 1944, when Japan loses that, it's a pretty big shock, not only to the Japanese military, but also to the Japanese public, who for the first time really realized that Japan is losing the war.
5 MINS LATER
The War’s Final Pacific Onslaught
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Benjamin F. DiazHOST
I'm sure there were some moral debates going on within that group, that cabal, right? So what was the ultimate, I mean, obviously, but what was going on? Do you have an idea?

James M. ScottGUEST
So Robert Oppenheimer, you know, he's sort of a, he gets a lot of attention, obviously.

James M. ScottGUEST
Oppenheimer really is an important figure, but I think in many ways he has sort of an outsized presence in sort of the public recollection of the Manhattan Project compared to Leslie Groves.
11 MINS LATER
Japan's Military Refused to Surrender Even After Two Atomic Bombs and a Coup Nearly Succeeded
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15:32Scott RankHOST
Describe him a bit more because the character study on him that you present is very interesting.
20 MINS LATER
S8 Ep1327: James M. Scott, Part Two: The Potsdam Declaration offered Japan a choice between rebuilding or "utter destruction." President Harry Truman greenlit the atomic bomb on the back of a pink telegram sheet, leading to historic missions piloted by Paul Tibbets,
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Aug 22 · 40m

James M. ScottGUEST
It is a very vital moment in the history because effectively, as you noted, George Marshall tells Truman, look, now that you've got this weapon, you can't just blindside the Japanese with them or history will not look kindly upon you for that.

James M. ScottGUEST
Now, what's been happening in the background, of course, is the State Department and the War Department and the Navy have kind of already been sort of agonizing over, all right, what kind of conditions can we offer to the Japanese to sort of show them, like, you know, what is, like, this last declaration going to look like? And it basically, and that becomes the pot stand declaration.

James M. ScottGUEST
And on the carrot side of things are, we will not enslave you as a nation, which the Japanese have been preaching to their people, we'll be enslaved by them.
S8 Ep1324: James M. Scott traces the dramatic, complex final months of World War II in the Pacific. Scott details how Secretary of War Henry Stimson briefed Truman in depth on the secret atomic bomb, and praises General Leslie Groves' masterful management of the Man
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Aug 21 · 37m

James M. ScottGUEST
I find Leslie Groves to be one of the most fascinating figures of World War II, much like General Curtis LeMay, who I wrote about in my previous book.

James M. ScottGUEST
And it's funny because Oppenheimer gets the big movie about Christopher Nolan, but the reality is it's Leslie Groves who gets it all done.

James M. ScottGUEST
But let's be honest, who wants to see a movie about an engineer who's really good at his job? Or do you want to see something about a morally confused physicist who dabbles in communism? But Groves, as you noted, he built the Pentagon in 16 months.

James M. ScottGUEST
And to give people an idea of just what an undertaking that was, The Pentagon has the same square footage as three Empire State Buildings.
Feature Friday Guest: James Scott, Author of Empire of Ashes: Truman, Hirohito, and The Descent Into Total War
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Pete MundoHOST
I mean, I assume, well, you tell me, how difficult was it to get the buy-in to use this atomic weapon, and was there someone behind the scenes that pushed Truman in that direction?
J
7:18James M. ScottGUEST
Yeah, so there was a big debate inside the, uh, particularly inside the Manhattan Project in the summer of 1945, and it largely came from the scientists themselves, and that, uh, was really driven by a guy by the name of Dr. Leó Szilárd.
J
7:29James M. ScottGUEST
And so he was really [laughs] in a lot of ways the father of the atomic bomb.
J
7:32James M. ScottGUEST
He was the one that first recognized in the 1930s that atomic energy was gonna lead down this path, and got Einstein involved to help push FDR to really begin the, the genesis for the Manhattan Project.
J
7:45James M. ScottGUEST
But by 1945, he's c- become completely, uh, opposed to it, because he recognizes that it's likely gonna create an arms race, that whoever unleashes it first into the world, you know, is gonna sort of have to deal with that.
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7:57James M. ScottGUEST
Uh, and, and, and so he's pushing, you know, p- for p- the politicians to not use the weapon, or to use it as a test.

Pete MundoHOST
How much juice did that give him during this period of time, and to make a consequential decision like he ultimately made with the atomic bomb?
Three Deadly Days in August: James M. Scott on Truman, Hirohito & the Two Bombs That Ended the War
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James M. ScottGUEST
And it's not really until 1945, I think, that he kind of wakes up to the realization of what his own power is in an effort to try and bring about it into the war.

James M. ScottGUEST
And even then, his early moves are done in secrecy because of his fears over his own safety.

James M. ScottGUEST
I mean, his efforts to sort of reach out to former political leaders to sort of find out, gauge what their interest is and sort of whether or not Japan should consider surrendering or not.

James M. ScottGUEST
It's not really until June, I think, of 45 that you kind of see him rise to the occasion and become much, much stronger.
18 MINS LATER
Andrew KeenHOST
But did they imagine that something different had happened, that somehow the heavens had opened or hell had come to earth?
Empire of Ashes: Truman, Hirohito, and the Descent Into Total War Ft James M Scott
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5:51CraigHOST
Why did you particularly choose to do so? You almost framed the book around this.

James M. ScottGUEST
Well, in a lot of ways, I mean, that's the history, you know, in that they're both.

James M. ScottGUEST
And I think one of the things that really jumped out at me is that both these figures in so many ways are kind of marginalized.

James M. ScottGUEST
And it sounds weird to say that because, I mean, you're talking about the president, you're talking about the emperor.

James M. ScottGUEST
I mean, Truman is, you know, you see him here on the screen, of course, is this great American figure.
28 MINS LATER
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33:57CraigHOST
the decision for the Soviets to get involved, why Truman was trying to do this.
Empire of Ashes
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Jack CarrHOST
... hadn't, didn't know about or, uh, hadn't thought about or, um, uh, hadn't, hadn't contemplated with all the other research and reading and, and study that you've done in the past?

James M. ScottGUEST
I think, you know what, I, I have a greater appreciation for just how precarious the end of the war really was.

James M. ScottGUEST
And that, you know, for so long in the, in the post-war era, people have tried to debate the atomic bomb.
A Provocative, Perturbing, Perplexing, Petulant and Petty Prime-Time Address
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John FugelsangHOST
What options were truly under discussion inside the new Truman administration?

James M. ScottGUEST
What was left of it was being turned into kamikaze fighters and attack planes.
9 MINS LATER
John FugelsangHOST
I'm sorry, those projections, were those just made up? What were they based on? Yeah,
Following the war, LeMay builds the Strategic Air Command (SAC) into a dominant force, though he struggles as a "fish out of water" in the political environment of Washington. He clashes with Robert McNamara and the Kennedy administration during the Cuba
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James M. ScottGUEST
Yeah, you know, I mean, i-in, in part, I mean, quite frankly, LeMay does a pretty good service in the early rise of Vietnam in trying to, trying to block McNamara from sort of going down the road that he does, but LeMay's not a politician.

James M. ScottGUEST
His aides and f- former colleagues said, look, he was not the kind of guy that was ever gonna succeed in, with a diplomatic setting like Washington.

James M. ScottGUEST
You know, he was used to, you know, being in charge in the Mariana Islands or in Nebraska with SAC is a very different beast than having to work amongst politicians and consensus.

James M. ScottGUEST
And so he is like a fish out of water in Washington, and he just butts heads with everybody, uh, with McNamara, and, uh, you know, they're desperately trying to get him out, and Kennedy and, and whatnot.

James M. ScottGUEST
Yeah, you know, he gets cr-- He says, you know, about the Vietnamese, you know, "We'll, we'll bomb them back to the Stone Ages." And of course, the American public has a, a, a very bristling, uh, reaction to that, and it's almost exactly what he says about the Japanese, 'cause he says about the Japanese, "We're gonna bomb them back to the Dark Ages." I mean, it's the almost the exact same type of line.
James Scott introduces General Haywood Hansel, an intellectual strategist tasked with using the expensive and "buggy" B-29 Superfortress to destroy Japan's industrial capacity in late 1944. Hansel is a pioneer of high-altitude daylight strategic bombing,
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John BatchelorHOST
What is his mission? What are the challenges for Haywood Hansell? What do we need to know about him? Good evening to you, James.

James M. ScottGUEST
So, um, Haywood Hansell is a fascinating figure in that not only is he a combat commander in both Europe and the Pacific, but he's also a, um, air pioneer and strategic thinker during the interwar period, in which it's important to remember, you know, aviation is a pretty new addition to the battlefield by the time World War II rolls around.

James M. ScottGUEST
I mean, it sort of, it sort of has its combat debut in the end of World War I, and that time between World War I and World War II is when a lot of thinkers start looking at how can we bring this new technology to bear in a modern war.

James M. ScottGUEST
And so he is a big believer in what's called high altitude daylight strategic bombing, and the idea behind that is that they are...
