J
Jake Dudek
CFO at Sunday; former COO at Scott Sports USA and VP Commercial Operations at SIGNA Sports United
3
APPEARANCES
1
PODCASTS
012
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Jul 30, 2026
Industry Special EP4: Survivors and what comes next
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23:09Wade WallaceHOST
Is that assessment something that, I guess, resonates with you as being true, or is there maybe, uh, nuances to that that could be added to it?
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23:21Jake DudekGUEST
I think that, um, going back to the overoptimism bias piece of it, um, I don't think that the industry is ever totally honest with itself around, like, what is the average replacement cycle, you know, for a bike? And we're talking average, like, not the N+1 character.
Industry Special Part 2, Episode 2: The Ground Shifted
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87:59Wade WallaceHOST
Do you see it such that the fact that they have leaves many other, like, founder-led businesses and ones that haven't taken on investment needing to react in the same way because they're now their competitors?
Industry Special Part 2, Episode 1: The False Dawn
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68:58Wade WallaceHOST
Has anything actually changed in your view, or is the industry just kind of repeating the pattern you described?
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69:05Jake DudekGUEST
What I mean, I guess in more detail when I say that capacity never leaves like it should, typically in an industry like you, you would have shareholders, the, the owners of the capital, like they would have a required rate of return, right? That should be commiserate with the risk that they're taking, you know, to, to partake in that business.
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69:26Jake DudekGUEST
And there's, generally speaking, the returns, the return on invested capital calculations don't math out [laughs] relative to the risk that they, that they end up taking.
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69:37Jake DudekGUEST
And so I think in the cycling industry, um, there's other industries as well that are, that are like it, but you certainly see it in the cycling space.
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69:44Jake DudekGUEST
You get very, very passionate, you know, capital owners, people that wanna partake in the industry and live in the industry.
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69:53Jake DudekGUEST
But in doing so, you wind up with a situation where it's actually pretty high barriers to exit.