I know you're going to go the other way, Jack.

Yeah, I've just gone overs here.

Over two and a half goals at minus 127.

Just two sides that both with the eye test have thrown up loads of chances.

The underlying data and the stats throw up the fact that they're conceding lots of chances.

And there's been lots of goals in that game.

So it just ticked all the boxes for me, to be fair.

You've got a couple of props with players and you're also delving into the corner market again, Jack.

I don't think I want to oppose this chart on side right now, though, Jack.

It's tough to, and as you said, they've obviously got off to a brilliant start.

But also, yes, underlying numbers and so on and so forth.

Yes, we do like looking at those and then playing as a result.

Sometimes you can get an edge where you might not see it just with normal stats.

But as you rightly said, Hull were the outlier last season on the fact that they were a relegation candidate by way of expected goals against, expected goals scored.

They just... overperformed all of that um to get to the playoffs sneak into the playoffs and obviously have now won two out of two in the premier league and yet to concede a goal so maybe they'll go and do the same thing again who knows it'll be a bigger story than leicester but um possibly not that but yeah as to charlton obviously i've dined out on the fact that one of the first the live show on the saturday we did i put up charlton at half time in that one those numbers were showing at that point of time that they were actually massively underperforming.

Like 12 months ago or whatever it was, 16 months ago, he was kind of taking the mickey out of Burnley on his socials and now he's at Burnley.

So talk me out of it.

Yeah, I just feel under three we can get on this one.

Under three Asian total for me is Malene.

Again, it's not official play on this one.

Again, it's a tough one because it could be a bit of anything this, but I just feel how this could be set up.

And I think under Gloucester at Forest, I feel he's going to want to get a foothold in the season, really.

I haven't heard those two defeats.

youth

How are you seeing this one going?

This is a perfect game, I think, where it comes down to, if you're playing it before the kickoff, before team news certainly as well, is that how do you expect it to go? You paint a picture of what you expect in the game to be and then you'll formulate your bets around it.

And I've kind of gone with my bet here, in essence, is a little bit of a double-edged sword.

I've gone for both teams to score no.

One, I don't know if Zalgiris has got it in them to score.

I know Zagreb tend to concede goals, but they could easily go with 5-0 down here.

We aren't going to turn this round.

I'm going to leave the corners to you here.

Their own highs and lows seem to be matching those of the terrain.

I was kind of rooting on the fly and going between two routes, and then got pretty lost in some forest somewhere.

And then, um, started to feel a bit unwell, and then, like, yeah, took it slower for a couple of days there, so.

But I found some good food and things along the way, you know, like some really nice places to stay, so.

I feel like my race has just gone, the rhythm of it has gone with the terrain, you know.

Like, I really enjoyed it in Norway, and then as it got flat, then I felt pretty flat, you know? And then since going to-

[laughs]

I feel like my race starts now really, 'cause there's, like, so much more climbing, so that'll be better for me.

What do you think?

Yeah, I think...

That is a high line.

I was looking at that thinking I'd rather be on the unders, certainly in that one.

As you say, I think the couple of things that play the part at the back end of the tournament is the heat is kicking in.

It's been a long season for these players playing elite soccer across Europe, most of them in this particular game, certainly.

And it's been a long tournament as well.

What say you? 2-0 Spain.

Man, did they struggle with that Cape Verde the other night, Jack? I mean, does Argentina kind of take out of that and go, man, let's not mess around here and just try to try to rumble through Egypt fairly quickly in this one.

Well, that's what they'd like to do.

Will they be able to do it or not? I'm not so sure.

Egypt are a tough nut to crack, obviously rated higher than Cape Verde.

But, you know, and I said they've been tough to beat in the tournament so far.

And my concern, I guess, for Argentina is that Messi looks out on his feet.

I know, you know, there's stats going around about how much he's walking around.

That would be real fascinating if Colombia could get through this.

I was keeping quiet on

that one, to be fair, Mike.

You know what I mean? But there we go.

That's opened the game right up.

So the goals that I was talking about there, I needed an early goal for that.

Apologies.

And it's gone the way I need it.

What about Czech Republic-Mexico as we go to the nightcap games? Obviously, what do you make of this matchup?

I mean, how do you see this one? How are both teams going to approach it? Is there any value there in the main markets for you?

I think this is a cracking one, and obviously we're going to start the day off with it.

So hopefully it will set the trend for a really exciting day.

I think these match day threes now start a bit of jeopardy coming in.

Me and Lewis Jones bumped into each other today, actually, and we were having a chat about the fact there's been a distinct lack of jeopardy so far with how the new setup is.

Where did you bump into Mr. Jones? Oh, I can't tell you secrets.

All his fans will be there.

So talk us through your thoughts for Shakira against Mexico.

yeah,

ideally, you'd be looking for someone that goes quarterfinals minimum, semis, finals would be awesome.

We saw that last renewal with Mbappe coming strong at the end with that hat-trick in the final to take that one as well.

Obviously, Messi got seven, so he was in the final.

So, yeah, I think it goes without saying, the more games you play, the more chances you've got to score.

And, of course, you've got the extended tournament this time around.

So I think it's a little bit different, possibly, especially with the weaker sides in it.

What's your thoughts on who we think is going to be the starting centre forward for the World Cup favourites?

Um, Jack, what's your thoughts on this one? How would you tackle it?

Yeah, it's a really tough bet, Andy, I think this one because Arsenal do have those capabilities to go and do something they don't need to do.

Um, and it's just all about the motivation to do that.

The players, as you say, the rotation, you'd expect.

I'm on the same page really as Nigel as far as I expect them to win but maybe not by a, a landslide.

Um, but kind of sometimes by default given how bad Burnley are, that might just happen.

So it makes it tricky to go around that.

Uh, you've got a prop for us as well, just a lean, Jack, in this one.