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Haakon Gjerløw

Oct 7, 2026

85:24
Like, there are a lot more inputs, uh, into how this prize is, is, is won, uh, than, than the list I put out." But like, are you at least just like a little bit tickled that the world's leading forecaster website just looks at what you print and they say, "Ah, those, those are probably the top ones"?
85:40
ones"?I, I'm just really glad you're the one saying this and not me, Alex, 'cause it would sound so douchey if I said it myself.
85:47
[laughs] No, but I, uh, I think, like, because this is such an opaque world, right? It's extremely secret.
85:53
We know nothing about the deliberations, uh, from within the, the committee.
85:58
Uh, it's secret for 50, for 50 years.
86:00
So people have all kinds of speculations about how they work and what they do, but, but the deliberations are secret for 50 years.
86:07
We don't even know who's nominated.

11 MINS LATER

97:14
Can you, can you just explain, A, why that is prominent this year, and then maybe give your assessment on how likely it is?

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