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Gabe Fleischer
American journalist and founder/editor-in-chief of the Wake Up To Politics daily political newsletter on Substack.
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Sep 22, 2026
Is Trump Out of Ideas? How Election Fundamentals Will Impact the Midterms (with Gabe Fleisher)
53:09
But how would you describe the Republican majority, the very thin Republican majority and how it has operated over these last several years?
G
53:21Gabe FleisherGUEST
Well, I would say it's not been the most productive, second most productive Congress in history, which is what Mike Johnson has.
G
53:27Gabe FleisherGUEST
I mean, it's been I don't think you need me to tell you it's been an incredibly chaotic past few years, starting with a record setting, you know, balloting of, you know, for Kevin McCarthy in 2023, then going to ousting Kevin McCarthy.
G
53:39Gabe FleisherGUEST
Then, you know, Mike Johnson has been a little bit more stable on the leadership level.
G
53:45Gabe FleisherGUEST
kind of wonky, but if people want to know kind of the wonky metrics to be watching, you know, you can have a lot of qualitative stories about, you know, so-and-so member is mad at other members and they're all kind of fighting and backbiting.
G
53:55Gabe FleisherGUEST
But, you know, the two metrics that I think are really valuable to look at to see, you know, how... cohesive a majority is and whether the leadership is kind of exerting control over the ring and file.
9 MINS LATER
63:28
And I don't think that that changes when the dust settles, when things normally get more tribal at the beginning of a new coalition.
VIDEO America At 250: Polarized, But Not 50-50
8:02
11:48

Galen RookHOST
But first, I just want to let you share your key takeaways from the term, some of which you shared in your newsletter this morning.
G
8:11Gabe FleisherGUEST
I mean, I think my key takeaways, and obviously what I said about this morning was kind of what I think has been kind of the dominant theme of this Supreme Court term, you know, going from October 2025 to here in June 2026, which has been kind of the relationship between Donald Trump and the Supreme Court.
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8:24Gabe FleisherGUEST
And this, I think, kind of awkward dance that, you know, the president and the Supreme Court justices, obviously a third of whom he appointed, six of whom were appointed by his party.
G
8:32Gabe FleisherGUEST
This kind of awkward dance that has been kind of going on between these two branches of government, obviously for many of the 250 years of our history.
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8:39Gabe FleisherGUEST
But I think arguably never more so, or at least it's been a long time since to the degree that we've seen under the Trump presidency.
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8:46Gabe FleisherGUEST
And I would say, you know, my top line takeaway that I talked about in the newsletter this morning is that I do think you see a pretty clear pattern, at least in kind of the Trump related cases before the court.

Galen RookHOST
So do you see it that way, too, that like part of what makes this court look not so ideological and sort of ready to rebut Trump is that it's just that Trump himself is not a conservative a lot of the time?
America At 250: Polarized, But Not 50-50
8:34
12:16
Galen DrukeHOST
But first, I just want to let you share your key takeaways from the term, some of which you shared in your newsletter this morning.
G
8:42Gabe FleisherGUEST
What I said about this morning was kind of what I think has been kind of the dominant theme of this Supreme Court term, you know, going from October 2025 to here in June 2026, which has been kind of the relationship between Donald Trump and the Supreme Court.
G
8:53Gabe FleisherGUEST
And this, I think, kind of awkward dance that, you know, the president and the Supreme Court justices, obviously a third of whom he appointed, six of whom were appointed by his party on this kind of awkward dance that has been kind of going on between these two branches of government, obviously for For many of the 250 years of our history, but I think arguably never more so, or at least it's been a long time since to the degree that we've seen under the Trump presidency.
G
9:16Gabe FleisherGUEST
And I would say, you know, my top line takeaway that I talked about in the newsletter this morning is that I do think you see a pretty clear pattern, at least in kind of the Trump related cases before the court.
G
9:26Gabe FleisherGUEST
And the non-Trump related cases, which is that, you know, when Trump kind of has hewed to kind of the traditional principles of the traditional conservative legal movement, he's generally been quite successful.
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9:37Gabe FleisherGUEST
Obviously, I think the most consequential of those is, you know, you mentioned the decision in Trump v.
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9:42Gabe FleisherGUEST
Slaughter, which will let the president kind of fire independent agency officials or officials at agencies that we've historically kind of looked at.
Galen DrukeHOST
So do you see it that way, too, that like part of what makes this court look not so ideological and sort of ready to rebut Trump is that it's just that Trump himself is not a conservative a lot of the time?
'If You Can Keep It': Democracy In 2026
25:42
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15:07Todd ZwillichHOST
Um, so for the time that you've been in journalism covering politics, where have you seen the shift? How have you seen, since we're talking about the erosion of democracy, um, where have you seen the differences from day one to now in your career?
G
15:20Gabe FleischerGUEST
Well, I'll say, I mean obviously there's a lot of shifts over five years, but in terms of the engagement point, I, I, I don't think what I see is a decline in engagement or decline in people paying attention to the news or following what's going on.
G
15:31Gabe FleischerGUEST
I mean, I do think this speaks to a bit of a paradox that we see, I mean, when we ask people in the polls, when we ask people, you know, to describe what they think about politics, what are the words that come to mind? We hear all the words that are coming up now about apathy and about decline in interest and just, "I can't pay attention.
G
15:44Gabe FleischerGUEST
It's, it's too much." And yet you, you juxtapose that with viewership statistics and statistics of people reading newsletters like mine or paying attention to social media or tuning into cable news and you don't see as much of, of that same decline.
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15:58Gabe FleischerGUEST
In fact, you know, I'm someone, uh, as you noted, you know, I, I've been engaged in politics a, a, a long time, you know, from a very young age, um, you know, long before a lot of my peers were really paying attention to politics.
G
16:07Gabe FleischerGUEST
But certainly since 2016, since the 2016 election, I would say that has not been the case.
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16:12Gabe FleischerGUEST
I, I was someone who was involved in politics even before that and then ever since then, you know, it's kind of been, uh, I would say a big rush o- of interest.
9 MINS LATER

Jen WhiteHOST
Do you think there is a, a shared conversation about what it means to live in a democracy right now in the US?
The Jim Acosta Show with Michael Fanone Ezra Levin and Gabe Fleischer
38:47
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29:15Gabe FleischerGUEST
I mean, I think I'm sure people remember kind of the Camargo Garcia case was very much in the news a few weeks ago.
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29:21Gabe FleischerGUEST
And I want to write this piece, I guess, a because as much attention is being paid to that, you know, about a month ago or so has basically almost completely fallen out of the news, despite the fact that he is still in El Salvador.
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29:32Gabe FleischerGUEST
The terrorism confinement center is the very kind of notorious prison that's gotten a lot of publicity.
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29:36Gabe FleischerGUEST
He's not there in that prison anymore, but he's just in a different Salvadoran prison, still in El Salvador, where, again, as we said, the U.S. had a legal order protecting him from being sent there, and he's still in that country.
9 MINS LATER
Jim AcostaHOST
And you're starting to see mortgage rates and car loan rates creep up, I have to think that is going to be applying some pretty negative pressure on his numbers with that category, I have to think.
