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Francis Yared

Jul 22, 2026

5:40
In your mind, are we closer to fair value there now? And what does that mean for where 10-year yields go from here?
5:47
Yes, so relative to where we are now, it's much closer to our initial assumptions.
5:55
Let me maybe re-outline what was behind the view.
6:00
So the rationale really rested on the fact that if you look at what drove the decline in equilibrium rate post-GFC, it was primarily a shift in the supply and demand of savings because ultimately interest rates is the price of money and therefore impacted by the supply and demand of savings.
6:20
And again, I'm not going to go through all of them.
6:24
We covered that ground, I think, last time.
6:26
But if you look at every single factors that led to lower equilibrium rates, each one of them is actually going in the other direction.

6 MINS LATER

12:21
that's the net international investment position?

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