F
Francesco De Stradis
24
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
012
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Oct 27, 2026
the call: Tuesday 27 October
F
35:40Francesco De StradisGUEST
Look, I think the whole sector will re-rate once we see peak interest rates.
F
35:45Francesco De StradisGUEST
If you want to have a look at the whole sector, you can see the last 12 months probably come off 15% or probably more in some areas.
F
35:53Francesco De StradisGUEST
So I think the whole sector has taken a bit of a beating over the last 12 to 18 months.
F
35:58Francesco De StradisGUEST
If we see, I think inflation numbers are probably out now already, but if we see another interest rate rise this year, which we're expecting, I reckon we're at the top, if not close to the top of the interest rate cycle.
F
36:14Francesco De StradisGUEST
So I think buying into the property trust sector or the REIT sector is not a bad move gradually over the next 12 to 18 months.
F
36:25Francesco De StradisGUEST
Andrew's 100% right, most Aussies have some form of direct property ownership, which means when you look at an asset allocation, you're probably allocating zero when you're giving advice to a client.
6 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 29 September
F
39:33Francesco De StradisGUEST
Francesco? Yeah, look, just to state on what Ben was suggesting there, that once this conflict in the Middle East ends, it'll be some time before the oil price.
F
39:45Francesco De StradisGUEST
You'll get that initial reaction when everyone says it's all over and you'll have the initial reaction of the oil price probably falling down to $70 a barrel.
F
39:55Francesco De StradisGUEST
But then when reality sets in, you're probably looking at 12 to 18 months of production to get it back to where it was prior to the conflict.
F
40:06Francesco De StradisGUEST
So you'll have the initial fall and then the markets will realise that, well, we're not back to pre-war supply.
7 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 25 August
F
6:55Francesco De StradisGUEST
Well, well, I think, I, I think the mar- what the market's just focused on here is, is the second half recovery, um, and looking forward into FY27.
F
7:12Francesco De StradisGUEST
Um, but, um, you know, being, uh, you know, having sales internationally and we saw last year they hit record sales, but, you know, didn't do much for the share price last year.
F
7:22Francesco De StradisGUEST
Um, and, and sales were a bit lower this year, but that was due to the first half.
9 MINS LATER
the call: Monday 27 July
A
6:31Andrew GeogheganHOST
So what do our experts think of it? Francesco? And of course, recently launching a $175 million cap rise to pay for that Mars acquisition.
F
6:43Francesco De StradisGUEST
Um, look, it's, uh, EOS has transitioned from a, a, a turnaround story, I suppose, uh, into a defense growth story.
F
6:53Francesco De StradisGUEST
Well, not always, recently, um, uh, stressed that they've got record order books.
F
6:58Francesco De StradisGUEST
Um, I think that upgrade sort of reinforces that, that, that order book that they have.
F
7:03Francesco De StradisGUEST
Um, look, acquisitions, they take time to, to see how they fit into other businesses, but, um, all indications so far is that it should fit in neatly, um, as far as it being a, a business that, um, um, i- is a, a drone counteractive, uh, measure, if you like.
29 MINS LATER
Telstra shares hit February low following network outage
F
6:45Francesco De StradisGUEST
Look, earnings expectations are relatively high for some of the, particularly the large cap stocks.
F
6:51Francesco De StradisGUEST
And look, once we get through the confession season, most people tend to know that the analysts are pretty close to the mark with their earnings expectations for this financial year just gone.
F
7:04Francesco De StradisGUEST
most brokers and investors are looking for is their FY27 outlook statements.
F
7:10Francesco De StradisGUEST
And, you know, there'll be a couple of months of operations under their belt in the new financial year.
8:18
Finally, and in wrapping up, what are you telling your clients right now? Where do you see the opportunities for investors?
the call: Tuesday 30 June
F
7:43Francesco De StradisGUEST
And that good number that you saw just then come out of Europe, I mean, how much of that is part of the acquisition that they made? I think, you know, we're looking at, I think it was eight KFC stores in Munich.
F
7:58Francesco De StradisGUEST
Is that part of the reason why they've seen, what was it, 23% growth at the start of the year? Look, the revenue numbers were good.
12 MINS LATER
dividend special | the call: Tuesday 28 April
17:53

Michael WayneGUEST
And also from a growth perspective, I would go a sell as well until there was a noticeable improvement in the numbers being delivered from their liquor retailing division.
F
18:09Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, the dividend yield at the moment looks attractive at 5%, but that's because the share price is where it is, you know, the old term of a dividend trap.
F
18:25Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yes, there might be a dividend reduction, so that takes us out of our income side of things.
34 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 31 March
F
20:48Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, look, here's another one similar to NetWealth and Hub, you know, trading on multiples that are extremely high, you know, cloud-based accounting, but their PEs are up in the cloud as well.
F
21:02Francesco De StradisGUEST
And all it takes is one misstep and, you know, those prices start to become a little bit more attractive for a buyer than a seller.
F
21:17Francesco De StradisGUEST
um i don't tend to agree um with that um for the sheer fact that the valuation um you know it's trading on 60 times earnings to me that's just um too high um too much risk um look you know it has traded up as high as what nearly two hundred dollars there um yeah If I think back to when this company first started, everyone was sort of intrigued by it being cloud-based accounting, which all the cloud means is it stores its data offsite.
12 MINS LATER
AI blamed for mass Wisetech job cuts & Woolies CEO on reputation rebuild
F
10:30Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, well, when the results came out, it sent the ASX 200 index south quite quickly, but it recovered really quickly as well.
F
10:40Francesco De StradisGUEST
So from an investment point of view, I think investors are quite happy with the larger index.
F
10:47Francesco De StradisGUEST
blue chip companies in the marketplace and they started buying them up again.
F
10:51Francesco De StradisGUEST
I think from the market point of view, if we are expecting more rate hikes, and I wouldn't rule that out, I think today's result was, I suppose, an indication that that inflation number is fairly sticky because the headline rate was up at 3.8.
12:11
And finally, Francesco, what are you telling your clients right now and where do you see the opportunities for investors?
the call: Tuesday 24 February
F
10:27Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, look, touching on what I just mentioned with Monodelphus, a good company.
F
10:37Francesco De StradisGUEST
But what I try and do is look at the company and say, well, they're good operators and they know what they're doing.
29 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 27 January
F
7:48Francesco De StradisGUEST
We've seen this quarterly result is, you know, operationally quite strong.
F
7:55Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, the production was, you know, A little bit of hit and miss here and there, but the Wabunga project has shown marked improvement in their efficiency.
26 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 25 November
F
35:13Francesco De StradisGUEST
Look, it's a company that's in clinical stage biotech, focused on radiopharmaceuticals using copper isotopes, whatever that means.
F
35:32Francesco De StradisGUEST
I don't know a lot about the space either, what they're trying to achieve, but it's obviously diagnosing certain cancers in patients.
7 MINS LATER
N
43:05Nadine BlayneyHOST
I mean, obviously it suffered toward the beginning of the year, but is Civmec a way that you would play this sort of engineering industrial thematic?
the call: Tuesday 28 October
A
10:19Andrew GeogheganHOST
All right, Francesco, obviously, and also Michael, just as far as the dividend growth is concerned.
F
10:23Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, look, I sort of agree with some points and disagree with others.
F
10:36Francesco De StradisGUEST
If you want to compare it to, say, Woolies and Coles, which is not a real... direct comparison because they're retailers.
F
10:45Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yes, Medcash has the retail element, but it's also got the wholesale, got the hardware and all, and that side of it.
24 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 30 September
F
9:17Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yes, it's had some issues, not only with the road into the mine, but also with some, I suppose, directorships and...
25 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 26 August
F
35:30Francesco De StradisGUEST
But the yield's sufficient enough, I think, you're being rewarded from a yield perspective to hang on to it.
8 MINS LATER
B
43:24Ben ClarkGUEST
yeah yep it looks like it and you know that it's hard to see the regulations on the banks being wound back because that ultimately is how businesses like this are flourishing okay they do deal with probably it's not like the prime people wanting to get a mortgage it's that second tier yeah they might struggle a bit more got less competition
the call: Monday 28 July
A
6:26Andrew GeogheganHOST
Now, a question coming to us from Abby saying, what are the prospects of holding this stock long-term or short-term?
F
6:38Francesco De StradisGUEST
I looked at it a number of years ago and it's sort of fallen off the radar a little bit.
F
6:42Francesco De StradisGUEST
And I think that's what happens with these types of stocks in the market, that when the mining boom has disappeared, then these things fall off the radar.
F
6:53Francesco De StradisGUEST
But Austin Engineering is a company that just continually... generates activity with their contracts.
14 MINS LATER
Trump's copper and pharma tariffs & how to make a telco complaint
7:32
In fact, they're down with the rest of the market, right? So I'm keen to get your take on what do you make of these threats, the potential implications, especially on those three huge companies, right? And what do you think the market reaction says about it?
F
7:47Francesco De StradisGUEST
Look, the three biggest exporters that Australia export to the US are meat and meat products, pharmaceuticals and medical equipment.
F
8:02Francesco De StradisGUEST
They probably end up in the US indirectly through either China or other manufacturing countries, but a lot of our commodities don't end up there.
F
8:17Francesco De StradisGUEST
Look, BHP and Rio are the two miners that everyone knows in Australia.
the call: Monday 30 June
F
8:40Francesco De StradisGUEST
So to Andrew's point, he's right, they haven't produced yet, but they just raised about $50 million to move into production.
F
8:53Francesco De StradisGUEST
You've got these phases of... of resources companies when they're exploring, they, you know, up and down, up and down, and when they prove up the resource, then there's a big leverage in the share price.
F
9:04Francesco De StradisGUEST
Then they start building the operations, and there's a lot of capex, and they're going to raise a lot of money.
F
9:10Francesco De StradisGUEST
Share price is very stagnant during that period, and then when they move into production, then there's another uplift.
11 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 27 May
F
14:51Francesco De StradisGUEST
I mean, there was some weather issues there, which obviously stifled production, and also some issues with the roads in and out.
F
15:07Francesco De StradisGUEST
And it was around the same time that WiseTech got sold off because of CEO issues and governance issues and things like that.
9 MINS LATER
Easing inflation likely locks in May rate cut
15:19
Is the worst over? And to what extent has investor sentiment actually changed?
F
15:29Francesco De StradisGUEST
You know, the market spans back a lot quicker than I would have expected as well, particularly where, you know, when a lot of this talk about the tariffs started and back when we were in our highs, the markets were, particularly the Australian market, was overvalued.
F
15:51Francesco De StradisGUEST
I think what the market is seeing is some positive momentum on more the talk around the tariffs, about negotiating a better outcome.
19:06
What are you telling your clients at the moment and are there still any opportunities for investors?
the call: Tuesday 29 April
N
33:33Nadine BlayneyADVERTISER
you're looking for some income, you know,
F
33:34Francesco De StradisGUEST
our forecasts have got almost 8% yield on it over the next three years.
F
33:43Francesco De StradisGUEST
So, you know, if you look at some yields out there that are, say, you know, 5.5% to 6%, then with 100% franking takes you up to those levels.
F
33:52Francesco De StradisGUEST
But um that looks quite good i do i do like um this type of asset toll roads generally a fairly predictive predictable revenue sources the owners of the roads tend to have good experience in managing the maintenance side of things and that's that's the big risk i think is is the maintenance um most people um That I see, you know, they're not reluctant to jump on the toll roads and pay the tolls these days.
13 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 25 March
F
14:31Francesco De StradisGUEST
It is and really spot on all the all four banks you know even the regionals are very expensive CBAs on 26 times earnings and and you know historically long-term average you're looking at probably 14 or 15. on that with a 5% dividend yield and we're looking at what, two or three.
F
14:51Francesco De StradisGUEST
So they're not delivering what investors think they should be delivering.
F
14:57Francesco De StradisGUEST
Now, from a retail investor's point of view, would I sell all my banks? No, because if you're looking at it from a portfolio management perspective, they do form the base of a lot of retail portfolios out there, superannuation funds and the like.
F
15:12Francesco De StradisGUEST
But I would be looking to lighten my exposure to it and looking at alternatives.
F
15:18Francesco De StradisGUEST
Like Rudy said, Telstra is one we've been looking at, Medibank Private is another one.
F
15:22Francesco De StradisGUEST
And these are big blue chip companies that are still going to be here in five years' time and going to deliver dividends and And I think deliver some better returns than the banks will.
the call: Tuesday 25 February
N
32:29Nadine BlayneyHOST
So maybe Australia is ripe for a new sub-QSR, which, you know, they're the buzz right now.
F
32:38Francesco De StradisGUEST
I mean, if you want to go back to sort of fast food brands and how they've sort of been around for many, many years, McDonald's, you know, how many restaurants have tried to set up and compete against McDonald's.
F
32:48Francesco De StradisGUEST
And, yeah, there's always going to be a... a competition, but, you know, to overtake McDonald's.
F
32:57Francesco De StradisGUEST
I love it, but I won't touch it because I'd be twice the size I am now.
16 MINS LATER
the call: Tuesday 28 January
L
41:44Luke LaretiveGUEST
And if the prices do fall back, becomes a really attractive takeover target, I think it's a really nice way to invest in commodities and give yourself some downside protection.
F
42:07Francesco De StradisGUEST
Particularly, it's only been listed since September 23, so it hasn't had a great deal of history.
F
42:14Francesco De StradisGUEST
Yeah, and Luke's right, you know, sometimes, you know, companies like this need to be fairly agile in their approach and, you know, maybe, you know, they've planned to be drilling for lithium and discovered more, you know...
F
42:32Francesco De StradisGUEST
Well, higher grades of gold than they expected and they've changed their tact, which is not too bad, I would imagine, compared to, say, back in the late 90s where companies were mining companies and drilling holes in the backyards.
F
42:47Francesco De StradisGUEST
in the outback and then two days later they're IT companies and setting up websites and things like that so not quite as bad as those days but look I don't know enough about it but it Like for my clients and my advice would be too speculative for me to have a look, well, to invest in.
