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Eric Manton

Eric Manton

Geopolitical risk analyst and founder of "Adversarial Analysis" (the "4+1" framework), formerly with USAID and organizer of the Charter 77 50th Anniversary.

Sep 23, 2026

4:12
Who did you speak to? How did you identify people who are willing to tell you why they were speaking out and standing up and why they thought so many others were not?
4:22
Well, you had the Charter 77 dissident movement, which was a grouping of political dissidents.
4:33
The dissidents knew each other for quite a while, already from – Starting in 19, before in the 60s, and then you had the Prague Spring around 68, and then the Soviet Warsaw Pact invasion to put that out.
4:52
And then the period of normalization in the 70s that drove everybody underground.
4:57
And that's where a lot of the energy of gathering people together and having them create what was later called a parallel polis, a separate kind of society of solidarity.
5:17
And from that came the need to... to take a stand and to take a public stand, not only for themselves, but for the whole community.
5:31
So in 1975, when the Helsinki Act was signed and you had the decalogue and inside there, they had each of the states made commitments to human rights, rule of law, many of our fundamental freedoms, and they made commitments to uphold these.

27 MINS LATER

32:47
So can you tell me what you're seeing in the news and the data and developments that make you see that dynamic?

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