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Elizabeth Thomas
American egyptologist
6
APPEARANCES
3
PODCASTS
012
DEC 30
JAN 6
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JAN 20
JAN 27
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OCT 5
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Oct 15, 2026
Hot CPI, Hotter PPI: The Fed Can’t Stop Hiking
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6:13Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
First of all, you have a little less volatility in holding the bond directly.
5 MINS LATER
U.S. Bonds Are Trading Like an Emerging Market with Liz Thomas
18:17
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9:43Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
I think it does eventually matter, but here's a point that I made last week.
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9:52Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So on one side of the portfolio, this is what I'm doing in my personal portfolio right now.
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9:57Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
On one side of the portfolio, I'm all in, all in on software, all in on semiconductors, all in on cybersecurity, all in on AI.
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10:07Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
And then on the other side of my portfolio, as I've mentioned and I've been very clear about, I've started a position in the 10-year treasury, I initiated another position in gold, and I've got commodities in there.
8 MINS LATER

Guy AdamiHOST
But sort of thoughts on where we are in the banks, given the yield curve seemingly flattening a bit, given the comments out of Brian Moynihan, and now given this concern around AI, that somehow that's going to create tremendous headwinds for financial institutions.
True Crime Vault: A Captive Student
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18:43Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
Like, I don't wanna tell my parent that a grown man kissed me, and I don't wanna tell friends that a grown man kissed me.
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18:50Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
Like, I'm not saying he started it, but I mean, I was 15, you know, he's a grown man.
49 MINS LATER
Second-Half Market Outlook & Playbook with Liz Thomas
26:10
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15:08Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So we have CPI coming out on Wednesday, Wednesday the 14th, and then PPI is the following day.
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15:15Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So if everybody recalls, the PPI report last month was pretty upsetting because it was over 6%, and I believe for the month before that, over 6% as well, still expected to be 6.2%.
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15:28Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
for this reading, which is for the month of June, CPI is expected to be 3.8% for the month of June.
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15:35Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
Now, if CPI comes in at 3.8, that would be down from 4.2, which is what it sits at right now for the month of May.
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15:43Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
If this war has actually de-escalated and we don't go back into really high oil prices, I am of the mind that CPI probably has already peaked.
10 MINS LATER

Guy AdamiHOST
But in the final few minutes we have here, what has piqued your curiosity as July is in full throttle here?
The $1.75 Trillion SpaceX IPO Will Test This Rally with Liz Thomas and Bill Capuzzi, CEO of Apex
3:15

Guy AdamiHOST
But my question to you to start things off, the importance of it, and depending on how you want to look at it, how well it trades, how well the media covers it, all the different aspects that go into a highly anticipated IPO.
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3:32Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
I think this may end up being one of the biggest, if not the biggest, market story of the year if we take things like macro and other exogenous shocks out of it.
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3:41Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So just for anybody who hasn't been following the numbers, this company is going public at $1.75 trillion, going public at a mega cap valuation, which is wild.
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3:51Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
The other thing that is important about it is that only 5% of the shares are actually going to be available as free floating.
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3:58Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So $1.75 trillion valuation, but only 5% of the shares are actually going to be made available in the trading.
The Market Doesn't Care About Your Worries Right Now
12:17

Guy AdamiHOST
So what's out there that could potentially be conc- 'cause there's always something
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12:21Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
somethingYeah, so I mean, obviously we don't know what's coming until it hits us, but a couple things.
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12:27Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So for the market, and it's different what's out there for the market versus what's out there for the economy.
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12:32Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
For the market, if CapEx spending takes a hit or if we see a slowdown or some cracks in the story of just spending hand over fist and optimism in AI, that takes the market down for obvious reasons.
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12:43Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
But so far, again, no signs of that, and even earnings growth in the first quarter almost doubled expectations that it was at the end of March, which is absolutely remarkable.
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12:54Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
So we're sitting right now at 25% year-over-year earnings growth for the first quarter, which is bananas, okay? So the fundamentals are not showing any signs of cracking right now.
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13:05Elizabeth ThomasGUEST
For the economy, especially for the labor market, things like small cap employment, if that starts to crack, and, and what do you watch for that? You watch things like small business optimism.
8 MINS LATER
