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Eli Nir

Eli Nir

Sep 4, 2026

11:58
Tell me that you can be a better optimist than Max.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
12:01
I think I'm just as pessimistic about it.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
12:04
Another way to look at affordability would be also the opportunity cost, right? So somebody who's renting is not going to double their monthly payment just to own a home that they don't really see potentially appreciating that much.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
12:17
So when you look at just rent payments to mortgage payments, if you look at percent of your income that goes to mortgage payments, everything is just very elevated right now.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
12:29
And people don't really have a reason to go out and buy a home unless they absolutely need to.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
12:35
you know demographics people moving getting a new job all that stuff is going to be the main driver of the housing market for a while like we put out our forecasts on the on existing home sales and housing demand and it's pretty much in line with what max was saying it's it's just going to go sideways from here there's really no reason to anticipate a huge acceleration there's really no reason to anticipate a huge fall off We're just kind of stuck in this weird moment right now with elevated rates.
Eli Nir
Eli NirGUEST
13:07
You know, the biggest catalyst that could happen would be a decline in mortgage rates.
14:09
Are there constraints other than pure interest

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