That's clod.ai slash Spotify.

Well, our poll usually keeps party ID consistent.

So in general, there is much less variance between waves than you see in the other polls where it's allowed to be a free floating variable, right? However many Democrats or Republicans or independents you pick are the number of Democrats or Republicans or independents that you get into the poll.

We try to calibrate it to the last ballot vote, in which case it's the last presidential election in 2024, and really keep it within that proportion of party ID or self-identified support of the different uh parties so in general there is less variance in our poll and our poll has been more stable but also in difficult election years like 2020 it was also the most accurate uh precisely because of of this calibration or this waiting that gets uh uh applied to it When you look at the polling, there's no doubt that the atmospherics of the poll, the way that the questions, especially the questions around the economy are breaking, that this is pointing to bad results for Republicans heading into the midterms.

I mean, you know, in our poll, 56% say the country's on the right, on the wrong track.

57% say the economy is on the wrong track.

People believe that their wellbeing, their personal wellbeing is going down.

But I'm curious, did this poll find that most voters think the economy is also Republicans' fault? Do they get that blame too?

What do you think your poll is seeing that perhaps other polls could be missing?

Well, our poll usually keeps party ID consistent, so in general, there is much less variance between waves than you see in the other polls where it's allowed to be a free-floating variable, right? However many Democrats or Republicans or independents you pick are the number of Democrats or, uh, Republicans or independents that you get into the poll.

We try to calibrate it to the last ballot vote, in th- in which case, it's the last presidential election in 2024, and really keep it within that proportion of party ID or self-identified support of the different, uh, parties.

So in general, there is less variance in our poll, and our poll has been more stable.

But also in difficult election years like 2020, it was also the most accurate, uh, precisely because of, of this calibration or this weighting that gets, uh, uh, applied to it.

When you look at the polling, there's no doubt that the atmospherics of the poll, the way that the questions, especially the questions around the economy are breaking, th- this is pointing to a bad results for Republicans heading, uh, into the midterms.

I mean, you know, in our poll, 56% say the country's on the right, uh, uh, on the wrong track.

But I'm curious, did this poll find that most voters think the economy is also Republicans' fault? Do they get that blame too?

So, uh, Dritan, uh, is, uh, CEO and founder of Harris X, and I turn it over to you to, to walk us through the data, and thank you for being here.

Thanks for having me back, Mark.

Uh, well, this was one of the big stories of the week, and frankly everyone expected some kind of a disaster, uh, with Trump flying to Ankara for the NATO summit.

And we'll unpack a little bit voters' reactions to what they saw, uh, over the span of the week.

Um, it's important to note this poll was conducted overnight from last night to roughly about 12:00 noon today.

It, uh, is across 1,000 registered voters, or more than 1,000 registered voters.

And as always, we wanna start a little bit with a snapshot of where things stand right at.

[coughs]

So all over to you.

Sure.

So this was, I guess, less of a controversy than we originally thought because the US, uh, Men's National Team lost yesterday, and it's kind of been dissipated.

But obviously, the red card became a big topic, and it became a big topic in part because Trump started to play a leading role in it, as he likes doing a lot of things.

And so we're starting off with the president's approval.

Uh, no surprise, uh, the approval i- his approve- job approval is underwater at 43%.

Uh, in the last week or so, he's been between 40% and 43%, and he retains Republicans and MAGA voters.

Just remind people, Dritan, where they can follow your work in general.

Explain what you mean by that.

Sure.

Well, most of the theme of this poll was really to assess American confidence ahead of July 4th and the celebrations of our 250th anniversary.

And really, you know, what I'm noticing in the data is two patterns or two trends.

One is that America is a country of unhappy optimists.

And what I mean by that is that, you know, Americans remain to be proud to be American.

74% say that they are proud to be American today.

How do people view the government right now? Do they think that the founding fathers would be proud of the American experiment? Do they think they'd be viewing the way government looks now and be rolling over in their graves? What do we think based on these metrics?

Mm

... online polling to, uh, the survey in order to ensure, uh, representativeness and making sure that we have reach, especially with younger audiences, which frankly, you know, they scan out or filter out their phone calls and don't really pick up, uh, if they don't know who's calling them.

So you're able to compare and contrast tit for tat with Gallup, and it goes beyond.

And we've, uh, also added to US adults, registered voters.

You can look at business leaders.

So it has a wide array of, uh, segments and audiences that you can track through our poll.

Um, what was your big takeaway putting all of these numbers together? What story does it tell about how America's feeling about President Trump?

Well, all of the horse race metrics, I like to call these the horse race met- metrics, are trending negative for President Trump and the Republicans ahead of the midterms.