D
Dhiraj Narula
2
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
012
DEC 30
JAN 6
JAN 13
JAN 20
JAN 27
FEB 3
FEB 10
FEB 17
FEB 24
MAR 3
MAR 10
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MAR 31
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APR 28
MAY 5
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NOV 3
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DEC 1
DEC 8
DEC 15
DEC 22
DEC 29
JAN 5
JAN 12
JAN 19
JAN 26
FEB 2
FEB 9
FEB 16
FEB 23
MAR 2
MAR 9
MAR 16
MAR 23
MAR 30
APR 6
APR 13
APR 20
APR 27
MAY 4
MAY 11
MAY 18
MAY 25
JUN 1
JUN 8
JUN 15
JUN 22
JUN 29
JUL 6
JUL 13
JUL 20
JUL 27
AUG 3
AUG 10
AUG 17
AUG 24
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SEP 7
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SEP 28
OCT 5
OCT 12
OCT 19
OCT 26
NOV 2
NOV 9
Nov 6, 2026
US midterms: Democrats, deficits and data centers
9:12
D
3:49Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
Well, I think on the fiscal front, if we think about an outlook where you look at the next two years and think there's less scope for something as big in terms of fiscal expansion as the big, beautiful bill or even under previous administrations, not having that potential upside is scope for upside surprise to deficits is something that you would expect the treasury market to like.
D
4:09Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
And in fact, the idea that there could be less room for upside surprises in the amount the treasury has to issue is something that investors would appreciate.
D
4:17Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
However, I would say in terms of the market's reaction, we've already seen the market in the past few months come to this baseline expectation that the Democrats would at least take the House of Representatives.
D
4:28Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
And in doing so, create this sort of divided government outcome that Ryan was talking about.
D
4:38Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
But overnight, we did see treasury yields across the curve come down quite considerably.
Alastair PinderGUEST
And so any delays to that monetization, because they can't build out this capacity, starts to put a lot of issues on some of these companies.
US midterms: Democrats, deficits and data centers
9:12
D
3:49Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
Well, I think on the fiscal front, if we think about an outlook where you look at the next two years and think there's less scope for something as big in terms of fiscal expansion as the big, beautiful bill or even under previous administrations, not having that potential upside.
D
4:04Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
scope for upside surprise to deficits is something that you would expect the Treasury market to like.
D
4:09Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
And in fact, the idea that there could be less room for upside surprises in the amount the Treasury has to issue is something that investors would appreciate.
D
4:17Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
However, I would say in terms of the market's reaction, we've already seen the market in the past few months come to this baseline expectation that the Democrats would at least take the House of Representatives.
D
4:28Dhiraj NarulaGUEST
And in doing so, create this sort of divided government outcome that Ryan was talking about.
Alastair PinderGUEST
And so any delays to that monetization, because they can't build out this capacity, starts to put a lot of issues on some of these companies.
