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Derek Halpenny

Derek Halpenny

Sep 25, 2026

2:09
You know, the scale of the move, like I've
2:10
gone back to kind of the beginning of this latest phase of fixed income selling.
2:16
So, you know, the two year yield since Jackson Hole basically is up 72 basis points.
2:25
So that's a 21 day period.
2:28
And essentially looking back through history, that is the biggest 21-day jump in the two-year yield since March 2023.
2:42
So I looked back at that and this basically was the run into the US regional banking crisis kicking off.
2:53
So just after we peaked out, news of Silicon Valley Bank collapsing, Signature Bank soon afterwards, And after that jump over that 21-day period, which was about 75 basis points, we then had the biggest two-day drop in the two-year yield, nearly 90 basis points since Black Monday in 1987.

5 MINS LATER

8:28
Sure.

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