David Bier
Analyst
19
APPEARANCES
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Jul 14, 2026
ICE’s Deadly Traffic Stops
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David BierGUEST
Um, you know, it really got going, um, under Secretary Noem's leadership, that they were going to have quick, rapid responses to any controversy, any criticism online would be responded to, and they were gonna have a very aggressive social media strategy.

David BierGUEST
And I, I do think that, you know, it's not Secretary Noem necessarily or the head of the DHS social media team that is making up lies about what happens in these scenarios.

David BierGUEST
And m- in m- most of the time, some of the framing language I think is something generated, um, by, by the higher-ups.
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Unknown podcast
The Amendment That Wouldn't Bend
Jul 14 · 30m

David BierGUEST
So Haiti was designated for temporary protected status, which means that Haitian nationals without permanent residence in the United States could apply to receive, uh, temporary protected status.

David BierGUEST
And, uh, over three hundred thousand had received, uh, temporary protected status under, under that designation under the Biden administration, which was based on, uh, effectively the fact that there's no, um, rule of law, there's, there's no, uh, functioning government.

David BierGUEST
Uh, we have an anarchic, uh, situation in Haiti, and it would be dangerous and irresponsible to send people back there.

David BierGUEST
The, the Trump administration was supposed to, according to the statute, review the country conditions and then only terminate temporary protected status if it determined there had been a change in the country conditions.

David BierGUEST
It, it didn't do that, and the Supreme Court said, "Well, it doesn't matter because Congress also said the decision by the secretary is not reviewable," and included-- That includes all the precursor decisions leading up to the decision.
7 MINS LATER
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22:01How do Americans feel about immigrants, and what are the arguments for immigration that you have seen through your work that could maybe change people's minds on the issue?
Assessing the Supreme Court's Final Decisions
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David BierGUEST
Look, the, the Supreme Court has made it clear they want to give the president significant discretion on its immigration agenda, but there are limits, and he hit up against the limits here with this birthright citizenship order, which itself just asserts the authority to, uh, limit birthright citizenship in this way and really didn't provide any kind of legal basis for it in the order itself.

David BierGUEST
They had to kind of work to come up with a theory under which they could, uh, claim this, this power, and the Supreme Court just said no.

David BierGUEST
The plain text as well as the historical context, uh, would indicate that this is not, um, what, uh, the founders and the, the framers of the 14th Amendment would have understood is, uh, a, a limit on birthright citizenship.
Bianna GolodrygaHOST
activities.And David, what did you make then of Justice Thomas writing in his dissent that the majority, quote, "repurposed the 14th Amendment to protect its own set of preferred rights"?
A History of Repeated Injuries
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13:48David BierGUEST
Uh, first, the, the Founders believed free immigration was central to the purpose of the founding of the United States.
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13:57David BierGUEST
And second, they understood the consequence of that view would be that people of all classes and nations and religions and political views would be coming to the new country in huge numbers.
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48:26Tommy BerryHOST
Uh, another- a big-picture question from McKenzie asks, "Do you think future administrations would be likely to re-embrace the founders' original ideals? If so, what policy shifts would signal a genuine return to those constitutional roots?" Big question, but at least maybe to turn the tide, at least to start going in the right rather than wrong direction, what do you think might, either of you, could be a reasonable first step?
E-Verify at the Crossroads
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7:32David BierGUEST
My basic view here is that it is inconsistent with a free society, with limited government, for the state to conscript private people into carrying out its goals.
D
7:46David BierGUEST
The left has for decades tried to eliminate the difference between public and private actors.
D
7:52David BierGUEST
So we end up with woke mandates on businesses to micromanage their demographics.
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7:59David BierGUEST
divest from non-woke industries, mandate health care or vaccines, and on and on.
D
8:06David BierGUEST
If the government wants to engineer society, it should have to do so without conscripting us, free people, in its efforts.
8 MINS LATER

Daniel KishiGUEST
until the point at which they did not have access uh you know to to the cheap labor um and so you know i think in the first instance just to answer your question um the immigrant population is uh the the lion's share of the problem but i think the analysis could then be applied to temporary visa programs such as the hua h2b um to the extent that employers have access to low cost foreign labor that will keep wages down or lower than they would otherwise be for domestic citizen workers and forestall the investments necessary to drastically increase the productivity of a sector that has seen rather stagnant productivity rates.
The Immigration Crackdown You’re Not Hearing About
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David BierGUEST
So I, I mean, actually the, the 40 countries, it's pretty evenly split at, at this point, uh, between, uh, Muslim countries and, and, and other, uh, countries that, you know, fell in disfavor for whatever reason.
David BierGUEST
It, the, the broader ban, uh, encompasses, um, uh, a very significant chunk of Africa as well as, uh, many Central Am- and, and South American and Caribbean countries.
David BierGUEST
And the thinking with that ban was, uh, really, uh, these people, for whatever reason, are going to become a tax on the taxpayer.
11 MINS LATER

Ryan BourneHOST
We could have always shut down that border, uh, were we able to." So what would be your kind of response to that argument?
April 14, 2026 - PBS News Hour full episode
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David BierGUEST
Well, the biggest one by far is the suspension of immigrant visa processing for 75 countries around the world.

David BierGUEST
These are for, mainly for family members of US citizens who are coming to reunite with their family members here.

David BierGUEST
In addition to that, they've also suspended all, uh, entries from about 40 countries, so 92 countries now face a de facto legal immigration ban, uh, by this administration en- encompassing about half of all legal immigrants to the United States.

David BierGUEST
In addition to that, he's banned almost all refugees except for white South Africans, but even them, even that group are, are being admitted at just about 10% of the rate that was previously, uh, being admitted before under the Biden administration.

Liz LandersCORRESPONDENT
Who are these people that are getting turned away? And also, are they finding other ways to legally enter the United States, or are they just turned away completely?
Birthright Citizenship on Trial
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David BierGUEST
I'm the Director of Immigration Studies and the Sell's Foundation Chair in Immigration Policy at the Cato Institute.
3606 - Trump Punts Hormuz; Republican National Purity Dream w/ David Bier
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David J. BierGUEST
Yeah, look, uh, from, from our perspective at the Cato Institute, you know, my, uh, predecessors in my position [chuckles], uh, were called to testify by Republican members of Congress, you know, throughout the 1980s, 1990s, on behalf of, uh, Bush administration and Reagan administration proposals to reform the legal immigration system, expand legal immigration, uh, legalize people who were in the country, uh, illegally, expand the high-skilled immigration system.
David J. BierGUEST
Uh, one of my immediate predecessors in the early 2000s at Cato was an INS administrator under the Bush administration, the George W. Bush administration, and so the idea that there was this huge, you know, you know, uh, libertarians were not, uh, accepted as real, uh, you know, part of the coalition or, you know, people who couldn't have good ideas on immigration, I mean, this is... couldn't be further from the truth.
David J. BierGUEST
And from my perspective, I mean, I worked, uh, for a Republican member of Congress in 2013, 2014, and 2015, and during that period of time, he was openly working on bipartisan immigration reform.
David J. BierGUEST
He's a Republican member, uh, Raul Labrador from Idaho, Republican member of Congress, uh, deep red state, totally permissible, um, you know, for him.
11 MINS LATER

Sam SederHOST
Will you just explain to folks what that means? Because we talk about, like, profiling and, um, it, it wasn't that long ago when we thought racial profiling was bad.
Who's Watching the $170 Billion?
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7:05Dominic LettHOST
Um, and in my view, I think it makes it more likely that, you know, mistakes happen, overspending happens, and waste happens.
David BierGUEST
Yeah, I mean, when I look at that part of it, it really explains why the Democrats' demands are so long because really at this point, there's no incentive to negotiate on the Republican side because they already have the immigration enforcement money that they want.
David BierGUEST
You know, to the extent that there's implications here, it's for TSA, it's for the Coast Guard.
David BierGUEST
It's, you know, Coast Guard actually did receive money in the one big beautiful bill.
16 MINS LATER
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24:05Dominic LettHOST
And I think a lot of the other, uh, reforms that you kind of point to are pretty, you know, sensible, common sense ideas.
What Trump’s Immigration Policy is Really Doing with David Bier
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David BierGUEST
But I do remember listening to that message as, you know, a senior or junior in college and thinking, "Yeah, that resonates with me.
David BierGUEST
That, that's my views on the matter, too." And so there was a first principle kind of basis to being pro-immigration in the Republican Party all the way up until really Trump killed it.
David BierGUEST
But that is, you know, that's the core, and it goes to Reagan, you know, carried on through Bush.
David BierGUEST
Even Dole, if you look at his, his speech at the Republican National Convention, it's the same message.
31 MINS LATER
Sen. Kennedy Tried to Humiliate This Witness… It Backfired (w/ David Bier)
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Tim MillerHOST
They're treating them the same way as they would, like, somebody who's a drug smuggler that came across the Rio Grande.
David BierGUEST
If you break it all down, I mean, we've had, we had, uh, about eight million people, immigrants total, legal and illegal, under the Biden administration over four years came to the United States, legal and illegal.
David BierGUEST
Uh, if you break it down, about three to four million of those were people who, uh, you know, came across the southern border.
David BierGUEST
About half of those, o-of the three to four million, were people who had entered legally, uh, through a, a, a process for asylum, through, uh, uh, requesting permission to enter.
David BierGUEST
Uh, they received something known as humanitarian parole, uh, or they were, uh, allowed to enter as a result of a, uh, an asylum claim.
8 MINS LATER
Tim MillerHOST
You do not need to have your dick pat down by people at the airport, um, because you had your belt on still by accident, that we can go a different path." So let, let's hear a little bit more about the path you would, you would see, the, the crazy libertarian path here.
The Trump administration's war against legal immigration
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4:29David BierGUEST
I mean, it's a surprise to a lot of people, but, like, w- the first, uh, publication that I, I published under this administration in January of 2025 was a prediction.
D
4:40David BierGUEST
And I don't like doing predictions, but the, it was a safe bet that they were going to cut legal immigration more than they cut illegal immigration, and that has already happened, and it's not even close.
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4:52David BierGUEST
I mean, if you look at, you know, border patrol arrests, they're down maybe 20,000, 30,000 per month.
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4:59David BierGUEST
The total number of people entering on, you know, a humanitarian statuses, refugee status, other permanent statuses, is already larger than that.
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5:11David BierGUEST
I mean, you're talking about on, in just the first month, they cut about 40,000, um, uh, entries through the parole programs that are, uh, a legal avenue for people to come to seek safety in the United States.
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5:25David BierGUEST
You, you had them, uh, completely eliminate [laughs] uh, the refugee program, except for white South Africans, so that was 125,000 over the course of the year.
25 MINS LATER
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Wouldn't it be in the Trump administration's best interest to actually, I don't know, hire more immigration judges rather than firing them so that the cases can be appropriately and speedily adjudicated?
February 6, 2026 - PBS News Hour full episode
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Liz LandersCORRESPONDENT
Who is this affecting right now, and has the United States seen policies like this before?
David BierGUEST
During the first Trump administration, when he basically shut down almost all visa processing in 2020, that was- created a huge backlog of people who had to be processed under the Biden administration for, uh, put people in very similar situations.
David BierGUEST
I, I encountered people who had to actually move out of the United States to be with their loved one in another country, and we're seeing similar decisions being forced upon people today.
David BierGUEST
If you look at the totality of it, about half of all legal immigration, permanent immigration from abroad, has now been banned by these policies, so one out of every two immigrants.
David BierGUEST
If you look at African immigrants, in particular, legal immigrants, again, it's almost 70% of legal immigrants from...
David BierGUEST
You're looking at the statistics from 2024, have now been banned, uh, by this administration.

Liz LandersCORRESPONDENT
What do you make of the legality of the government's blanket pause here?
Guess What % of ICE Detainees Turn Out To Be Criminals?
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Brian LehrerHOST
January 28th and they were already moving quite far away, it seems like, from, uh, violent criminals as an overwhelming priority.
D
5:47David BierGUEST
If you look at what the President did on his first day in office, he signed executive orders that rescinded the requirement for Immigration and Customs Enforcement to prioritize people with serious criminal convictions or public safety threats, national security threats-... to really open up the population of people who they want to deport.
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6:11David BierGUEST
If you look at how this campaign has been prosecuted and carried out by this administration, they have not focused on the violent criminal convictions and- and- and the people who are public safety threats.
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6:27David BierGUEST
They have made it easier to target the people who've gone through vetting, who've gone through processes to get legal status.
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6:35David BierGUEST
The people who are going to immigration court hearings are not the people with violent criminal histories who are trying to evade detection by Immigration and Customs Enforcement because they know they're not gonna be eligible for anything.
8 MINS LATER

Brian LehrerHOST
ICE is completely out of control and the administration likes it that way." Um, so before we play these- these Tom Homan clips, which seems to expand the definition of who's a public safety threat, what were you thinking listening to those callers or hearing those texts I read out?
November 28, 2025 – PBS News Hour full episode
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David BierGUEST
Unfortunately, what the president has taken away from this ta- attack is that all of the 53 million, as he says, immigrants to the United States, legal or illegal, are now, uh, seen as suspicious, as people who should be driven out of the United States, even denaturalized.
David BierGUEST
If you look at the rhetoric in that post, he can't find a single good thing to say about any of the immigrants from any country in the world.
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12:20speaker_10UNKNOWN
happens.What trends have we seen in immigration recently and what impact could these changes that we're seeing from the President being proposed, what could those have impact on these immigration trends we're seeing?
July 8, 2025 – PBS News Hour full episode
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Laura Barron-LopezCORRESPONDENT
And now, this bill will dramatically increase ICE's capabilities on top of that.
David BierGUEST
Under this bill, it... by 2028, you are talking about spending... effectively, 80% of all federal law enforcement dollars will go to immigration enforcement.
David BierGUEST
And so, when you think about the scale that we are prioritizing this type of, uh, of enforcement, um, over all other types of crimes, you know, everything you can think of is being deprioritized to focus on deportations, and primarily, eh, it's going to be deportations of people without any criminal record, without any arrest record.
Trump’s Threat to Jail Foes Darkens, Prompting Epic Retort from Zohran
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Greg SargentHOST
Can you walk us through how all that works? And is it relevant that Trump keeps calling Mamdani a communist?
David BierGUEST
The, the- It's not relevant in the sense that, uh, you know, he should prevail in any, uh, attempt to denaturalize him.
David BierGUEST
But unfortunately, it's not the kinda situation where you're just gonna get laughed out of court and, you know, this is not something that you should be concerned with at all, because the requirements to naturalize include some very vague language that President Trump is undoubtedly going to latch his attack on these, uh, political opponents under.
David BierGUEST
And, and the main one we're talking about here is the requirement that you demonstrate that you're attached to the principles of the Constitution and well-disposed to the good order and happiness of the United States.
David BierGUEST
And there's also a provision for revocation that interprets that language as having membership in the Communist Party or another totalitarian party of, uh, that is, you know, opposed to the principles of the United States.
Greg SargentHOST
When Trump says, "Some people say Mamdani is here illegally," and that, "We're gonna look at everything," as, as in that video clip that we just played, that he's got all the levers he needs to stop Mamdani, it's very plausible that his people might already be exploring denaturalization as an option, right?
April 29, 2025 – PBS News Hour full episode
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Laura Barron-LopezCORRESPONDENT
So, 100 days in, what do you think defines President Trump's immigration agenda?
David BierGUEST
His immigration policy is really driven by the overarching goals of this administration, which is to consolidate as much power over the US economy and society as possible.
David BierGUEST
So, if you look at it, it's not about legal versus illegal or arresting legal residents or arresting people who never violated any immigration law or any other laws.
David BierGUEST
We're, we are targeting US citizens, taking away citizenship from babies born in the United States, we're eliminating due process for people, uh, charged as removable in the United States.
David BierGUEST
So, now your birth rights, your birth certificate is no longer going to be a defense for you if you are being targeted by ICE, and then you're not gonna get any due process by this administration either.
David BierGUEST
They're gonna, uh, deport you even to a foreign prison without any due process, and we're already explicitly hearing from the president plans and considerations to target US citizens for removal to El Salvador.
Laura Barron-LopezCORRESPONDENT
Do you expect an escalation between federal agents and state and local authorities?
David BierGUEST
We're already seeing the escalation with the t- uh, with the arrest of a, of a state judge.
