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Charles McElwee

Charles McElwee

Founding editor of RealClearPennsylvania and contributing writer for RealClearPolitics, City Journal, and POLITICO.

Oct 26, 2026

13:45
of a voter distribution problem for Democrats?
13:48
It's a voter distribution problem, but it also reflects a demographic map that is rapidly changing and no longer in reality for the Republican Party.
13:57
And that's what makes this year so interesting.
13:59
What's changing? So in many ways, are we returning to 1990? So that was a year where Bob Casey just handily wins at a historic level over Barbara Hafer of Montgomery County.
14:12
She only won one county that year as Auditor General, Montgomery.
14:16
Which at that time, Shapiro was just a 17-year-old in high school in Monaco.
14:21
But that year, Republicans managed to retain the state senate and Democrats kept the house.

12 MINS LATER

26:31
But a lot of this whole conversation we're having this hour is going to be viewed through the lens of how does this position or not position Josh Shapiro for a potential presidential run? And how does it affect how he might govern in his second term? Your thoughts on all of that, Charles?
46:56
But, uh, what's your take on the race, Charles?
46:58
Yeah.
46:58
So the race, I mean, uh, Bresnahan could still survive this one because of the district itself.
47:03
Of course, you have Scranton, which is solidly blue, in the land of, let's say, even the Abingtons, the, the, the suburbs of Scranton.
47:12
That's the land of the Irish Catholic Democratic voter who votes blue until the end of time.
47:15
They're, they're, m- they have an, a, a allegiance to the party that's cultural.
47:19
But then you have Luzerne County that is essentially Republican at this point, but nevertheless, it's home to the vintage Trump voter, the voter who voted for Trump in '16, who was long a Democratic voter because of his stances on foreign policy and the economy.
49:31
Charles, what's your, what's your take on this race?
27:07
And he's not up till 2028, we should point out, right?
27:10
He's not up until 2028, and he'll have opposition, wide-ranging.
27:17
People like, potentially Brendan Boyle in Philadelphia, or Conor Lamb in Western Pennsylvania, who is now an attorney, but would certainly, I would imagine, be interested in reentering the political arena, just as evidenced by his travels across the state now.
27:35
So he will have opposition, and it's really a battle of who speaks for the concerns of Democrats of Pennsylvania, and Fetterman ...
27:43
The challenge for, for Fetterman is he's not engaging Pennsylvania voters.
27:49
So when he talks about issues, it's in the abstract, and his positions are not in alignment with Pennsylvanians right now, whether it's the Iran war or data centers.
28:00
He is for data centers.
29:03
What are his, his approval ratings in Pennsylvania? I mean, I think he's still well-liked there, even among Democrats, but at the same time, when it comes to sort of the national scene, uh, there's, there are questions.

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