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Catherine Wolfram

Catherine Wolfram

Economist and academic

Sep 2, 2026

25:25
So what is happening with data centers? And what risk does this pose to the global efforts to scale back carbon emissions?
25:33
Katherine, can you comment on that? Sure.
25:35
I think the key word there is that they're new.
25:40
They're growing tremendously.
25:42
I mean, in the U.S., we have seen flat electricity demand growth or, you know, maybe like 1% a year demand growth for the last 50 years.
25:52
And now, thanks to data centers, we're seeing like 6%, 7% a year growth in the demand for electricity.
25:59
And so this is just like unheard of and is really transforming the way we think about meeting electricity demand.

7 MINS LATER

32:54
So investing time in building those relationships as you're doing the research really kind of, I think, pays off in the ultimate take-up of the proposals.
8:37
It's so much more, isn't it?
8:39
Yeah, no.
8:40
I mean, we tend to think of climate change, global warming associated with higher heat, and that's definitely one big part of it.
8:48
But, you know, the El Nino phenomenon also brings flooding in some places, droughts in other places.
8:56
And these things can compound on each other if you're a – not very well-to-do farmer in India or Africa, and you experience a flood one year that wipes out your crop, it probably makes you less able to sustain a heat wave that comes the next year.
9:16
So there's some important interactions that people like me are just starting to think about and try to measure.
10:31
But what other industries are at risk?
10:34
What isn't at risk? I mean, one thing that I've studied for U.S.
11:42
Catherine, w- what is the best case scenario for a well-enforced price cap against Russia?
11:47
Russia?So the price cap was designed, the, the actual sanctions policy was designed with two very distinct goals in mind.
11:57
One was, as you say, to reduce Russia's revenues, but the second was to stabilize world oil markets, uh, to, to stabilize pricing.
12:06
So as L- Lukasz mentioned, the price cap was enacted in twenty twenty-two when the world was coming out of COVID.
12:12
There were all these kind of supply chain disruptions, and w- we were starting to see inflation.
12:18
And so it was a real concern that if we took the typical approach to sanctioning a, a big oil producer, which was to cut off their oil supply entirely, that that would spike, spike prices.
12:33
I mean, we've seen that with the Strait of Hormuz crisis, where roughly an equivalent amount of oil came off the, the market at roughly ten million barrels a day.

7 MINS LATER

19:40
So I'm wondering, what are some ways that sanctioning countries might strengthen the enforcement of the price cap?
5:43
Why haven't we actually seen as much demand destruction as one might have theorized?
5:50
So I'm not sure what one might have theorized, but what demand destruction is doing right now is helping us balance the market.
5:57
So we should be very welcoming to the demand destruction that we are seeing because, as you said, the supply is going away because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
6:07
So really what's balancing the market is the demand destruction in partnership with some inventories that are being tapped into and that are coming onto the market right now.
6:32
What does that look like?
6:35
No, I guess I don't think we'll ever get to those last barrels because the inventories are super valuable.
6:42
It's kind of like a rainy day fund.
6:45
But the longer the supply shock goes on, the more it's like not a shock.
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6 MINS LATER

6:47
Huh
6:47
... because the, the inventories are super valuable as kind of like a, a rainy day fund.
6:54
But the longer the supply shock goes on, the, the more it's, like, not a shock.

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