
Bryce Wilkinson
New Zealand economist
4
APPEARANCES
3
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024
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Oct 12, 2026
Full Show Podcast: 13 October 2026
31:12
31:22
31:31
31:44
32:01
32:15
33:21

Mike HoskingHOST
I mean, does anyone understand what this means, and are they remotely accurate, and does it swing a vote?

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
But it is a mirror, uh, as to what a political party thinks, um, the voters it's trying to attract, uh, will do.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Um, I read the budget as a continuation of what National has been doing to try and get back into surplus since its first budget in, um, 2018, uh, 20, uh, uh, 2024.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Um- The-- and which is basically, uh, try and hold the line on spending, which is pretty tough, um, given the increases coming through and interest on debt because of the rising public debt and also, uh, pressures with the aging population.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
And it's hoping for economic growth to, to, um, keep lifting tax revenues and other revenues to close the gap, and that is essentially what, um, this, uh, the National's budget statement is doing.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
There's handouts there and there, um, but, um, it's, it's keeping within that overall plan.

Mike HoskingHOST
Can we be encouraged, can we be encouraged, Bryce, to any degree that within a margin, both are broadly speaking reasonably conservative? In other words, they're not outlandish the way some of the other parties might be.
Bryce Wilkinson: New Zealand Initiative Senior Fellow breaks down National and Labour's fiscal plans
0:37
0:43
0:55
1:10
1:25
1:40
2:46

Mike HoskingHOST
I mean, does anyone understand what this means, and are they remotely accurate, and does it swing a vote?

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Uh, [laughs] um, I'm not a politician, so I can't say if it swings a vote, but it is a mirror, uh, as to what a political party thinks, um, the voters it's trying to attract, uh, will do.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Um, I read the budget as a continuation of what National has been doing to try and get back into surplus since its first budget in, um, 2018- uh, 20, uh, uh, 2024.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
And which is basically, uh, try and hold the line on spending, which is pretty tough, um, given the increases coming through on interest on debt because of the rising public debt, and also, uh, pressures with the aging population.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
And it's hoping for economic growth to, to, um, keep lifting tax revenues and other revenues to close the gap, and that is essentially what, um, this, uh, the National's budget statement is doing.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
There's handouts there and there, um, but, um, it's, it's keeping within that overall plan.

Mike HoskingHOST
Can we be encouraged, can we be encouraged, Bryce, to any degree that within a margin, both are, broadly speaking, reasonably conservative? In other words, they're not outlandish the way some of the other parties might be.
Bryce Wilkinson: New Zealand Initiative Senior Fellow breaks down National and Labour's fiscal plans
0:36
0:44
0:56
1:25
2:47

Mike HoskingHOST
Do the rest of us, I mean, does anyone understand what this means and are they remotely accurate and does it swing a vote?

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
I'm not a politician, so I can't say if it swings a vote, but it is a mirror as to what a political party thinks the voters are trying to attract.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
I read the budget as a continuation of what National has been doing to try and get back into surplus since its first budget in 2024, which is basically try and hold the line on spending, which is pretty tough given the increases coming through and interest on debt because of the rising public debt.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
And it's hoping for economic growth to keep lifting tax revenues and other revenues to close the gap.

Mike HoskingHOST
Can we be encouraged, Bryce, to any degree, that within a margin, both are broadly speaking reasonably conservative? In other words, they're not outlandish the way some of the other parties might be?
Bryce Wilkinson: New Zealand Initiative Senior Fellow breaks down National and Labour's fiscal plans
0:37
0:43
0:55
1:09
1:25
1:40
2:46

Mike HoskingHOST
I mean, does anyone understand what this means, and are they remotely accurate, and does it swing a vote?

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Uh, [laughs] um, I'm not a politician, so I can't say if it swings a vote, but it is a mirror, uh, as to what a political party thinks, um, the voters it's trying to attract, uh, will do.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Um, I read the budget as a continuation of what National has been doing to try and get back into surplus since its first budget in, um, 2018- uh, 20, uh, uh, 2024.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
Um, the- and which is basically, uh, try and hold the line on spending, which is pretty tough, um, given the increases coming through and interest on debt because of the rising public debt, and also, uh, pressures with the aging population.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
And it's hoping for economic growth to, to, um, keep lifting tax revenues and other revenues to close the gap, and that is essentially what, um, this, uh, the National's budget statement is doing.

Bryce WilkinsonGUEST
There's handouts there and there, um, but, um, it's, it's keeping within that overall plan.

Mike HoskingHOST
Can we be encouraged, can we be encouraged, Bryce, to any degree, that within a margin, both are, broadly speaking, reasonably conservative? In other words, they're not outlandish the way some of the other parties might be.