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Brad Keithley
7
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
012
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Oct 13, 2026
The Weekly Top 3 (10.12.2026)
B
2:49Brad KeithleyGUEST
So there's a building narrative out there that the Iranian war and the spike in oil prices is going to result in a surplus that the legislature is going to have to play with when it comes into session next year and JKT or whoever is governor is going to have to play with when they come in as governor.
B
3:15Brad KeithleyGUEST
It's a false, it's a false narrative and it shows up, it shows up even in places like the, the new Mat-Su Sentinel Sentinel, which is the old frontiersman.
B
3:25Brad KeithleyGUEST
Uh, there's a, there's an article on, uh, uh, uh, a forum that the Mat-Su Sentinel had for, uh, for statewide candidates.
B
3:36Brad KeithleyGUEST
And down in the article, it says, increasing pay for teachers, police officers, and other public employees was the top choice among those participating for spending any state budget surplus tied to the war in Iran.
B
3:53Brad KeithleyGUEST
Well, I do a weekly analysis of where the budget is and what oil prices and other factors are doing to it.
17 MINS LATER
Tuesday 10/13/26 | Weekly Top 3 | Story's Lifecoaching
B
4:09Brad KeithleyGUEST
So there's a building narrative out there that there is going to be – that the legislature is going to have, uh, to, to play with when it comes into session next year and JKT or whoever is governor is going to have to play with when they, when they come in as governor, uh, for the next legislative session, it's a false, it's a false narrative.
B
4:37Brad KeithleyGUEST
And it shows up, it shows up even in places like the, the new Matsu Sentinel Sentinel, which is the old frontiersman.
B
4:45Brad KeithleyGUEST
Uh, there's a, there's an article on, uh, uh, uh, a forum that the Mat-Su Sentinel had for statewide candidates.
B
4:56Brad KeithleyGUEST
And down in the article, it says, increasing pay for teachers, police officers, and other public employees was the top choice among those participating for spending any state budget surplus tied to the war in Iran.
B
5:12Brad KeithleyGUEST
Well, I do a weekly analysis of where the budget is and what oil prices and other factors are doing to it.
B
5:24Brad KeithleyGUEST
And I look at exactly where the budget is, not only the current year budget, but also the 10-year forecast.
18 MINS LATER
The Weekly Top 3 (10.5.2026)
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3:08Michael DukesHOST
What is happening with South Korea and the LNG project? Are we really saved is the question.
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3:15Brad KeithleyGUEST
Well, there was a lot of sound and fury and noise, but I think in the end, at the end of the week, it was signifying nothing.
B
3:24Brad KeithleyGUEST
I think the net-net of the week was, as you described it, for a while it looked like there was a deal.
B
3:35Brad KeithleyGUEST
Everybody was in the Oval Office standing behind him, shouting great praises about it.
B
3:44Brad KeithleyGUEST
Um, and then, and like you said, what, what are the details out of, you know, 50, 50 some odd billion dollars, a lot of money.
20 MINS LATER
Tuesday 10/6/26 | Weekly Top 3 | Story's PMA
S
4:18speaker_0NARRATOR
Right,
B
4:19Brad KeithleyGUEST
I think the net-net of the week was, as you described it, for a while it looked like there was a deal.
B
4:30Brad KeithleyGUEST
Everybody was in the Oval Office standing behind him, shouting great praises about it.
B
4:39Brad KeithleyGUEST
Um, and then, and like you said, what, what are the details out of, you know, 50, 50 some odd billion dollars, a lot of money.
21 MINS LATER
The Weekly Top 3 (9.28.2026)
B
2:48Brad KeithleyGUEST
We certainly talked a lot about them during the S-Corp discussions, whether or not Alaska ought to close the S-Corp loophole, which was in connection with the play out of the LNG legislation for the legislature.
B
3:03Brad KeithleyGUEST
And we talked about them a few weeks ago, generally, and I was trying to give some sense of the size of them.
B
3:10Brad KeithleyGUEST
And I was talking about the swoop chart, the swoop chart that that ledge finance puts together, uh, every session that shows spending on a, on a by bar, uh, spending by category and, and trying to give some sense of the relative size of the, um, of the, of the spending categories.
B
3:35Brad KeithleyGUEST
You said, well, why don't we just, why don't we just include the the tax expenditures in the swoop chart.
18 MINS LATER
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21:27Michael DukesHOST
And what does that look like for you, Brad, when you're saying we did some dollar tracing? What spurred this whole thing?
The Weekly Top 3 (9.21.2026)
B
18:58Brad KeithleyGUEST
There was a question last week about what's the break point in income between the top 20% and the remainder of the 80%.
18 MINS LATER
The Weekly Top 3 (9.14.2026)
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4:47Michael DukesHOST
Okay, what's that mean, Brad? What is exactly, how is it informing your overall vote in the governor's race?
B
4:56Brad KeithleyGUEST
So I've not been shy about saying that I am not a big fan of any of the gubernatorial candidates.
B
5:02Brad KeithleyGUEST
None of them have a plan, a fiscal plan that puts the state back on track to close the deficits we've been running for the last, oh my gosh, since 2014, to close those deficits and to get the state back on track on a sustainable long-term plan, consistent with current law, consistent with the statutory PFD that's still in law.
B
5:27Brad KeithleyGUEST
And I've not been shy about complaining about the candidates for governor and my disappointment in them.
B
5:33Brad KeithleyGUEST
But there was an article last week in the ADN that sort of focused my attention differently and sort of made me realize better, sort of narrowed down what I ought to be doing.
B
5:45Brad KeithleyGUEST
And the headline was, Bipartisan Coalition-Minded Candidates for Alaska Legislature Led in Key Primary Races and in Fundraising.
B
5:56Brad KeithleyGUEST
And so the article goes on to describe various races and various fundraising levels showing that the bipartisan majority people, candidates committed to the bipartisan majority are ahead in a majority of the legislative races, both in the House races, the 40 that are up in the House, as well as producing a majority when you take into account the 10 races in the Senate producing a continuing bipartisan majority in the Senate.
14 MINS LATER