
Ayushi Baloni
Pricing and Market Reporter at S&P Global Energy focusing on Asian agricultural commodity markets, particularly rice pricing and supply dynamics.
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Jul 24, 2026
El Nino and agriculture: How are Asian rice markets navigating the weather risks?
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Ayushi BaloniGUEST
it.Uh, so, uh, Asim, while we look at the effects of El Niño, uh, and how market, uh, participants are positioning themselves around this, it is also crucial to understand that this particular, uh, threat has intensified at a time when trade was already much disrupted, um, uh, since the beginning of the year twenty twenty-six because of the Middle East disruptions and the Hormuz trade disruptions, which caused a lot of, you know, disruptions to global trade worldwide, and rice was affected as a part of it.

Ayushi BaloniGUEST
So buyers already had a very cautious stance with respect to purchasing rice across, um, various origins.

Ayushi BaloniGUEST
Other than that, this was one aspect of buying, uh, sentiment, and the other was that prices were also reaching, as Muskan mentioned, FOB prices have reached highs in some origins.

Ayushi BaloniGUEST
They have reached, uh, monthly highs, and that is again, because of these disruptions, where the local costs led to a pushing up of FOB prices, making it less, you know, desirable for buyers to buy at the current, uh, position.

Ayushi BaloniGUEST
With that, added the effect of the El Niño disruptions, the demand has stayed in a wait-and-see approach from most of the buyers, including West Africa, may it be China, uh, because these are very price-sensitive buyers.

Ayushi BaloniGUEST
Apart from West Africa, I would also like to note Middle East demand has been very muted.

Asim AnandHOST
Could India's large stock position and competitive pricing help stabilize global rice trade?
