
Arvind Chari
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Sep 10, 2026
Arvind Chari on why India Is just 1.6% of the world's portfolios
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44:36BhuvanHOST
So they have no jobs right now.

Arvind ChariGUEST
I don't know whether I have a great view on it, but the way I think about it is that services will actually create way more jobs than manufacturing.

Arvind ChariGUEST
Because the manufacturing of 25, 30 years ago and the manufacturing of today is very different.

Arvind ChariGUEST
Today, you have automated robotic, even in India, there are so many of this completely zero manpower, zero man, man, completely automated robotic manufacturing.

Arvind ChariGUEST
Like it could have been a large share of GDP as a value add, but not a very large share of employment, especially as we've become automated and technology enabled.
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61:06BhuvanHOST
Plus, I still have to contend with rupee depreciation and the capital gains taxes.
#968 Indian Markets Reel Under Oil Price Onslaught
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Arvind ChariGUEST
The first implication is also that if you see of the twenty-one, twenty-five, one twenty-seven billion, I would assume about eighty to hundred billion is leverage and about twenty-five, thirty billion is actual flows by non-resident Indians.

Arvind ChariGUEST
Which also means that foreign banks or Indian offshore bank balance sheets have exposure or in banking balance called India risk of about a hundred billion dollars over and above what they had before sitting on their balance sheet.

Arvind ChariGUEST
The fact that foreign banks were willing to give loans at one% spread because they are charging five to five and a half percent as leverage cost, and the bank's own cost of borrowing would have been about four% because this is a credit risk-free instrument.

Arvind ChariGUEST
It's not a Indian sovereign borrowing, but it is essentially bankrolled by the Indian sovereign in terms of the swap risk and essentially is, there's effectively very zero credit risk.

Arvind ChariGUEST
So their cost of borrowing also would have been that much lesser internally for a bank.
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My question is, would they have thought through, and if so, in what way, from your experience, the whole, let's say, the downstream impact of these additional flows or this big flow that we've seen?
#899 IPOs on Wall Street and Dalal Street, What will it Do to The Markets?
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I spoke with Arvind Chari, chief investment strategist at Q India UK affiliate of Quantum Advisors India, and based out of London, and I began by asking him how he was seeing the action in the bond market.

Arvind ChariGUEST
The way to think about it is, A, it's a time-tested thing that India does, right? Whenever you have a issue on the currency and you need capital flows, you tap your non-resident Indians.

Arvind ChariGUEST
So this has been a thing that has always worked for India to be able to tap the non-resident Indians for, to augment the capital flows.

Arvind ChariGUEST
I would like to take it from three different perspectives because there are three different aspects of what the government and the RBI are trying to do to augment capital flows.

Arvind ChariGUEST
The first, of course, is the FCNR, Foreign Currency Non-Resident deposit flows.

Arvind ChariGUEST
In 2013, when the RBI and the government did this, we actually almost raised $26 billion back then in a very similar short period of time, so it can be sizable.
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So is that because the markets will respond to actual flows and not really speculate, unlike in maybe equities, or will it take much more?
#872 Markets Recover as Sellers Take A Break
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And I began by asking him how he was reading the government's call for austerity measures and how that could or if it could affect market sentiment.

Arvind ChariGUEST
You should read it as a function of imports, right? So if you look at postpone the purchase of gold, reduce your fuel consumption, reduce edible oil in cooking, you know, farmers to use organic farming or natural farming.

Arvind ChariGUEST
So it's coming from that perspective that, you know, we'll have to reduce our import dependence.

Arvind ChariGUEST
And that comes from, I think, the worry that the government is seeing in the trajectory of the Indian rupee.
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So therefore, I mean, what's the current mood sitting in London where you are and from a foreign institutional investor lens, given all of this? I mean, not that it changes on a daily basis, but what's your current reading?
