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Arjun Vij
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Jul 27, 2026
Navigating fixed income: Balancing a positive outlook in a world of heightened risks
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Kerry CraigHOST
What are the risk case that you're thinking about that sort of catches the market offside when it comes to that market outlook?

Arjun VijGUEST
Yeah, I mean, I like to tie what's happening on the economic side directly to markets.

Arjun VijGUEST
And when I think about the risks to the market specifically, I think it's that earnings expectations in the U.S. are pretty high.

Arjun VijGUEST
And if earnings come out materially lower than earning expectations, which we're not seeing just yet, that's obviously one big risk.

Arjun VijGUEST
It's really evident that the price of, you know, our own medium term view is that any price movement in oil beyond 100 is unlikely to sustain.

Arjun VijGUEST
But the risk case there is troops on the ground and in material escalation, which results in the price of oil being above 100 for a prolonged period of time.

Kerry CraigHOST
I mean, what is your take on the direction for inflation? I mean, you could frame it in terms of the US or more broadly.