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Arjun Vij

Jul 27, 2026

1:36
What are the risk case that you're thinking about that sort of catches the market offside when it comes to that market outlook?
1:43
Yeah, I mean, I like to tie what's happening on the economic side directly to markets.
1:50
And when I think about the risks to the market specifically, I think it's that earnings expectations in the U.S. are pretty high.
2:01
And if earnings come out materially lower than earning expectations, which we're not seeing just yet, that's obviously one big risk.
2:09
The second big risk is emanating out of the oil crisis in the Middle East.
2:16
It's really evident that the price of, you know, our own medium term view is that any price movement in oil beyond 100 is unlikely to sustain.
2:28
But the risk case there is troops on the ground and in material escalation, which results in the price of oil being above 100 for a prolonged period of time.
5:59
I mean, what is your take on the direction for inflation? I mean, you could frame it in terms of the US or more broadly.

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