Skip to main content

Ariel Epstein

Oct 3, 2026

95:56
What else do we got?
95:57
Both of these are rushing props for quarterbacks.
96:01
Sounds weird.
96:03
I'll start with Kansas City's quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
96:06
Over 15 and a half rushing yards.
96:08
Again, the only time that you have to really be worried is if there are kneel downs, which Mr. Patrick Mahomes ruined for a lot of people in the Super Bowl against the 49ers about four years ago.
96:16
But in divisional road games, Patrick Mahomes is averaging 22 rushing yards a game.
100:32
Who do you think's right? Better question.
149:43
From a betting perspective, what on earth is there to do with L.A.?
149:50
with the LA Rams, you don't do anything.
149:52
Because right now, being the favorites to win the Super Bowl is insane at the number they're at.
149:58
We were talking about it on On Tilt.
150:01
We were saying how Aaron Donald making the Rams the favorites to win the Super Bowl is insane.
150:06
First of all, how much is he even going to play for the first, I don't know, month of the season? He hasn't played in two years.
150:12
I know that he's going to be on the other side of Miles Garrett, so the two of them are going to be insane to have to try to protect up front.

5 MINS LATER

155:19
Ariel, if we're opening up the board here, NFL futures lens, how are you approaching NFL futures bets this week? Have you already broken it all down?
26:51
Maybe this is more of a fade of your Yankees than anything else, but what are you looking at with Tyler Mahle?
26:57
What, you think that I'm mad at the Yankees again? Yeah, I am.
27:01
Um, but anyway, maybe they'll get healthy.
27:03
Whatever.
27:03
The Yankees, whether they have Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger or not, they strike out a lot.
27:08
It's been happening all year.
27:10
The Yankees are averaging just under six strikeouts a game against righty starters this year.
30:32
So how do we bet into this? This should be a nice low-scoring game in a ballpark that tends to suppress action.
25:44
But any concerns for you right now about the way this Yankees team is trending, even with the absence of Aaron Judge?
25:52
Well, that would be the concern for me is the absence of Aaron Judge.
25:55
The Yankees are being so quiet about him.
25:58
We got an update I think a day or two ago saying that it's going to still be another four weeks until we even get imaging done on this rib.
26:05
That's my concern.
26:07
I was at Fenway this weekend watching the Yankees.
26:10
Um, it was actually my first time doing Yankees at Fenway.

6 MINS LATER

32:33
What have you been digging into?
102:16
What advice do you have for the baseball better? What's the approach you found that works?
102:21
I love pitcher props.
102:22
It is my favorite market in Major League Baseball.
102:25
And props are always the easiest segue into betting because you can understand, okay, this pitcher needs to go over or under five and a half strikeouts.
102:35
This pitcher needs to allow over or under one and a half earned runs.
102:40
That market just, I think, is a little easier for people to understand in their brain.
102:45
I love strikeout props.
104:34
But when you are giving strikeout props, for example, which you can find propqueen.com, this early on in the season, how much are you basing it on spring training? How much are you basing it on last season? How do you even go about doing so? Do you have things that are circled?
51:12
Let's put it like that.
51:14
It's been fun, though.
51:15
That's the thing.
51:16
The reason I come is because I do love sports.
51:18
I love sitting and watching sports all day.
51:20
I was going to do it anyway if I was at home.
51:22
I might as well be in one of the best sports books in the world at the Super Bowl where you get everything and you're in the elements.
52:12
What else we got? I'm high on the
87:18
Help me out.
87:20
I said the same thing when I saw it first.
87:23
I guess you're putting the Bills and the Ravens as the frontrunners for the AFC.
87:27
Both have new coaches, completely new coaching staffs.
87:30
We're still unsure how Patrick Mahomes is going to come back for the Kansas City Chiefs, what the timeline looks like.
87:36
They believe he could be back in September.
87:38
Maybe, but it's still...
91:09
Where's the first place you want to go now that spring training games have been played? What are you circling first?
86:59
But then after nobody would dispute that basketball was in a better place in terms of ratings than baseball was at the end of the 2010s, we saw two Game 7s last year, and it was the baseball Game 7 that outdrew the NBA Game 7, which prompts the question, How much better do you think the baseball product is in Major League Baseball right now than what we're seeing in the NBA, Ariel Epstein, at least in the regular season?
87:32
Well, happy Friday, Josh.
87:34
Thanks for having me on as you do every week.
87:36
Major League Baseball, I'm going to definitely be biased towards because it was my first love.
87:40
Everyone always loves their first love the most.
87:43
Major League Baseball, I just, even through the years that people were giving it a lot of crap, still loved the sport.
87:50
Baseball did pivot, though, and I think the pitching clock has helped.

8 MINS LATER

95:40
Are you betting on anything? Any props that you like?
105:15
How many props do you like for this game?
105:18
I probably bet four or five of them.
105:23
But the ones I mean, I always like the defensive player props.
105:27
And there are two that really stood out to me.
105:29
I've been talking about it all week that I really like Byron Murphy over three and a half total tackles.
105:34
He's just a player that showed up in primetime.
105:36
He's gone over this in six of the last nine road games.

6 MINS LATER

111:16
and build the perfect fantasy
45:26
As a Baltimore Ravens fan that you are, how does it hit you that your greatest rival from Pittsburgh just hired Mike McCarthy as their coach?
45:34
Thanks for having me on, Josh.
45:35
It felt great as a Ravens fan.
45:37
As a Ravens fan, we felt like we won the coaching hire market in the IFC North.
45:43
I know that McCarthy has a great, long-standing reputation, and Of course, if maybe Aaron Rodgers stays another year in Pittsburgh, then maybe that relationship will help, and they can also maybe mold a young quarterback.
45:55
I'm more excited about what the Ravens have in getting Minter and looking like they're going to be a Ravens defense again.
46:03
I wanted the Ravens defense to start looking like the Ravens defense of old, a team that tackled hard, a team that offenses didn't want to face.
47:39
What else do you like from this AFC championship?
109:21
What prop do you like?
109:23
I've got two.
109:24
I can't decide which one I like better.
109:26
I'll start with the underrated one, Jacksonville's tight end, Brenton Strange, under 35.5 receiving yards.
109:33
It's funny because you can make so much money off a player the week before, and then the next matchup tells you we are going to fade him.
109:39
I made money on the over for Brenton Strange last week.
109:42
I'm going to take his under this week.

6 MINS LATER

115:52
McDonald, they need Mike McDonald to be their head
1:42
Guys that are close to hitting key milestones this week.
1:46
Hi, Josh, and congrats, by the way, on this show.
1:49
I haven't been on yet, so I needed to tell you.
1:52
There's a lot of things that stand out because the books have caught on for the last couple of years into these contract incentives.
1:59
You have to find the spots that are the best and maybe even some of the players that go under the radar.
2:04
For example, the Jets kicker Nick Folk needs two field goals to make $125K.
2:09
That might not be something the books necessarily think about.

8 MINS LATER

10:11
it was a long time ago.

We value your privacy

We use cookies to understand how you use our platform and to improve your experience. Click “Accept All” to consent, or “Decline non-essential” to opt out of non-essential cookies. Read our Privacy Policy.