
Aneeka Gupta
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Jul 30, 2026
El Niño, geopolitics and agricultural commodities | The Commodity Exchange
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Mubeen TahirHOST
How do you see the backdrop for the grains, whether it's wheat, corn, soybeans? What does the outlook look like?

Aneeka GuptaGUEST
But I think it's important to make that distinction that, you know, in the case of grains, the recent blockage on the Strait of Hormuz, which, you know, resulted in a fertilizer shock, that is significant.

Aneeka GuptaGUEST
more directly relevant than the El Nino because these main grain producing regions such as North America, the Black Sea, the EU, as well as Australia, they're not in the primary El Nino impact zone in the way that West Africa or Southeast Asia is.

Aneeka GuptaGUEST
But what we're seeing in wheat this month is largely not just geopolitics, but we're also seeing beyond Just and Nino, we're also seeing both the Strait of Hormuz alongside the escalation of tensions between Russia and Ukraine starting to raise concerns around the production of wheat.

Aneeka GuptaGUEST
Back in 2022, when the Russian Ukraine war took place, we did see energy prices alongside wheat escalate by a very large extent.

Aneeka GuptaGUEST
And that's because Russia and Ukraine are known to be the breadbasket of Europe.
9 MINS LATER

Mubeen TahirHOST
Outline the case for a broad basket of agricultural commodities and what questions have investors been asking you recently in all your engagements lately?