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Andrei Illarionov
Russian economist and former chief economic adviser to President Vladimir Putin (2000–2005), now a Putin critic and Senior Analyst for Russian and European Affairs at the Center for Security Policy in Washington, D.C.
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Oct 22, 2026
Will U.S.–Ukraine Relations Survive the Midterms? Washington, Moscow, and the Search for Peace: A Conversation with Daniel Fried and Andrei Illarionov
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7:44Glen HowardHOST
So what do you see happening with this visit in light of all this noise going on about cutoffs of Starlink and et cetera, and the diesel? So what do you think is going through Putin's mind right now?
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
First of all, I would like to say that thank you very much for inviting me to this podcast.
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
And once again, great to see both of you, Glenn and Dan, in our company, discuss very urgent issues of today.
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
As for Mr. Vitka's incoming visit to Moscow, it will be his ninth visit to Moscow to see Putin, to talk to him.
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
but might be it is prepared at very special visit because according to early reports uh mr vitkov uh is expected to bring uh to put in a news about either concluding uh some whatever contract or decision that he's supposed to reach in Oslo, Dan just talked about this, on potential surrender or capitulation of Ukraine to demands that have been forwarded not only by Putin himself, but unfortunately those demands have been supported by the Trump administration right now.
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
For that purpose, as we all know, the administration has has started to implement since at least mid-summer a very particular strategy to deprive Ukraine from anti-aircraft, anti-missile defense.
Andrei IllarionovGUEST
First of all, Ukraine used all missiles to Patriots, and no arrivals of missiles did not come.
10 MINS LATER
Trump's Deal Will be the End of Ukraine - Andrei Illarionov
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37:25KonstantinHOST
D- what do you think?
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37:26Andrei IllarionovGUEST
Um, your, your logic is understandable but your, um, some kind of, your thinking that, uh, it will be peace, at least some short term peace, I don't think that will be any short term peace because all these, uh, negotiations, uh, would lead to only one possible result, to capitulation of Ukraine.
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37:46Andrei IllarionovGUEST
And, um, either Vitkov or, uh, Wentz or even President Trump, uh, in many their regar- uh, comments are hinting on this par- particular outcome.
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38:03Andrei IllarionovGUEST
And capitulation of Ukraine because, uh, what they're talking about, the whatever, ceasefire and so on, with stop of, uh, providing military aid or intelligence or whatever means and the... because, uh, stop with mobilization or with all those efforts to bring necessary people into the armed forces of Ukraine mean that Ukraine will be subjugated.
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38:26Andrei IllarionovGUEST
If Ukraine will be subjugated, and this is an obvious result of these efforts because, uh, Putin has pro- uh, the proclaimed his goal about Ukraine not, uh, now, not in year 2022 as people are talking about last three years, not in year 2014 with occupation and annexation of Crimea.
29 MINS LATER
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67:31FrancisHOST
Mm-hmm.