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Ali Cakiroglu

Oct 1, 2026

1:21
Really, when you look at the survey, that's one of the first things that people look at.
1:24
That's correct, Piers, and you're 100% right.
1:27
When we look at – this is quite a special edition – because it's the 25th edition, in a way our silver jubilee.
1:34
And if you look how much has changed over the six years, we can say a lot has changed.
1:40
And even compared to last year, investors are now dealing with a very different backdrop.
1:46
Last year, we were talking about tariffs, trade tensions, and all those.
1:50
But since then, we now have renewed geopolitical risks, significant moves in oil, much higher core yields, and concerns around fiscal positions.

11 MINS LATER

12:45
Would you agree? What are your thoughts on
5:53
So what's the mood like at the moment?
5:54
Well, I would say that the investors haven't turned their back on emerging markets, but they have- ... definitely become much more cautious.
6:02
So in each survey, we ask, uh, investors about their thinking on emerging markets.
6:07
Are they bullish, bearish, or neutral? And when we look at the bullish views, they have actually moderated only slightly from 68% to 60%.
6:16
But what's more important, bearish views were absent for the third consecutive survey.
6:20
So the net sentiment, which is the difference between the bullish and bearish views, actually stayed at elevated levels, at 60%.
6:28
But having said that, the caution was also visible.

7 MINS LATER

13:35
next.And Ali, how has the central bank outlook affected investor views in the EM survey?
5:53
So what's the mood like at the moment?
5:54
Well, I would say that the investors haven't turned their back on emerging markets, but they have definitely become much more cautious.
6:02
So in each survey, we ask investors about their thinking on emerging markets.
6:07
Are they bullish, bearish, or neutral? And when we look at the bullish views, they have actually moderated only slightly from 68% to 60%.
6:16
But what's more important, bearish views were absent for the third consecutive survey.
6:20
So the net sentiment, which is the difference between the bullish and bearish views, actually stayed at elevated levels, at 60%.
6:28
But having said that, the caution was also visible.

7 MINS LATER

13:36
And Ali, how has the central bank outlook affected investor views in the EM survey?

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