
Alexander Denev
CEO & Co-founder of Turnleaf Analytics; quantitative finance expert specializing in causal models, machine learning, and alternative data for macroeconomic forecasting
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Jun 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz: Causal Models for Rare Events | Alexander Denev S2E11 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com
6:34
6:49

Alexander DenevGUEST
Of course, the Scottish referendum didn't happen, so we can't backtest the scenario, but it could happen again in the future because it's still in the minds of people in Scotland, so that could be a repetition.

Alexander DenevGUEST
But each scenario requires a deep expertise to understand what are the stable patterns and mechanisms that could come back into play if the scenario materializes.
19 MINS LATER
