A
Alan Herschdorfer
Senior Research Fellow (Biostatistician) at the Monash University Clinical Trials Centre, specialising in oncology and cardiovascular clinical trials.
1
APPEARANCES
1
PODCASTS
012
DEC 30
JAN 6
JAN 13
JAN 20
JAN 27
FEB 3
FEB 10
FEB 17
FEB 24
MAR 3
MAR 10
MAR 17
MAR 24
MAR 31
APR 7
APR 14
APR 21
APR 28
MAY 5
MAY 12
MAY 19
MAY 26
JUN 2
JUN 9
JUN 16
JUN 23
JUN 30
JUL 7
JUL 14
JUL 21
JUL 28
AUG 4
AUG 11
AUG 18
AUG 25
SEP 1
SEP 8
SEP 15
SEP 22
SEP 29
OCT 6
OCT 13
OCT 20
OCT 27
NOV 3
NOV 10
NOV 17
NOV 24
DEC 1
DEC 8
DEC 15
DEC 22
DEC 29
JAN 5
JAN 12
JAN 19
JAN 26
FEB 2
FEB 9
FEB 16
FEB 23
MAR 2
MAR 9
MAR 16
MAR 23
MAR 30
APR 6
APR 13
APR 20
APR 27
MAY 4
MAY 11
MAY 18
MAY 25
JUN 1
JUN 8
JUN 15
JUN 22
JUN 29
JUL 6
JUL 13
JUL 20
JUL 27
AUG 3
AUG 10
AUG 17
AUG 24
AUG 31
SEP 7
SEP 14
SEP 21
Aug 10, 2026
How Do We Know It Isn't Just Luck? Biostatistics in Early Phase Trials
T
12:08Tim BoyleHOST
In the second, it crosses zero The distinction he draws from that pair is the practical heart of this episode
A
12:14Alan HerschdorferGUEST
I want to drill down now into some of the details, the nuts and bolts, the basic sort of furniture of a, a clinical trial home, and look at some of the concepts that you'll come across if you engage with statisticians.
A
12:25Alan HerschdorferGUEST
Maybe de- de- debunk some common myths about clinical trials and, and the various terms that you'll hear, and go through the process that we typically go through as statisticians.
A
12:33Alan HerschdorferGUEST
So one of the terms that you'll come across most frequently, perhaps the most frequently used term in all of clinical trials, is the p-value, and much has been said about the p-value by many people over many decades, and not all of it is true.
A
12:50Alan HerschdorferGUEST
So let's try and dig our way through, through what a p-value is and isn't and get to what it actually means.
A
12:56Alan HerschdorferGUEST
The way I define a p-value is a p-value is the probability of seeing what I've seen in my sample if indeed there's no effect of interest in the population.
A
13:08Alan HerschdorferGUEST
So usually what we do is we say, "Okay, I'm gonna assume before I start what I call a null hypothesis, that the drug doesn't do anything, that the two arms are identical.
7 MINS LATER
T
19:58Tim BoyleHOST
We finish with his key take home messages and with a question from the floor about where regulators may be heading next.