Oct 8, 2026 · 5 min · 6 segments
Long-term breadth looks stable, but a seventeen-point collapse in the 20SMA reveals sharp short-term deterioration beneath the surface. The analyst breaks down which names — like EWZS and CMG — have…
The 40 SMA breadth barely moved today.
So why does the tape feel this defensive? The answer is in the 20 SMA, and it just fell off a cliff.
Yeah, that's the thing.
Mm-hmm.
OK.
So morning check.
Where's the regime now versus the open? Right.
So the longer trend is actually fine.
40 SMA breadth is 23.57% up from 22.43% yesterday.
Yeah.
Right.
So that ticked up.
Yeah, it ticked up, but the 20 SMA, that collapsed from 35% to 18%.
Oh, wow.
Honestly, that's a 17-point drop in a single session.
Yeah, that's the real signal today.
Right, right.
Huh.
So stable on the surface, cracking underneath.
Exactly.
What about the thrust counts? Both easing.
Bull 4% fell from 104 to 64.
Bear 4% came down to 285 to 233.
Hmm.
So fewer thrusts both directions? I mean, it's a cooling, not a reversal.
The 40 SMA breadth barely moved today.
So why does the tape feel this defensive? The answer is in the 20 SMA, and it just fell off a cliff.
Yeah, that's the thing.
Mm-hmm.
OK.
So morning check.
Where's the regime now versus the open? Right.
So the longer trend is actually fine.
40 SMA breadth is 23.57% up from 22.43% yesterday.
Yeah.
Right.
So that ticked up.
Yeah, it ticked up, but the 20 SMA, that collapsed from 35% to 18%.
Oh, wow.
Honestly, that's a 17-point drop in a single session.
Yeah, that's the real signal today.
Right, right.
Huh.
So stable on the surface, cracking underneath.
Exactly.
What about the thrust counts? Both easing.
Bull 4% fell from 104 to 64.
Bear 4% came down to 285 to 233.
Hmm.
So fewer thrusts both directions? I mean, it's a cooling, not a reversal.
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