What really happens when an EV battery fails, and are we writing off valuable batteries and vehicles too quickly?
In this episode of Future Engineering Bets, Fred Warner and Michael Hague-Morgan of Autocraft Solutions Group compare perspectives on the future of EV battery repair, recycling and the risks facing owners as more electric vehicles move out of warranty.
Drawing on Autocraft’s experience of repairing more than 10,000 EV and hybrid battery packs, Mike explains why only a small number of modules may actually need replacing when a battery fails. Fred brings the wider engineering and capital-allocation perspective, questioning what this means for vehicle values, warranty risk, battery design, the used EV market and whether current policy has properly considered what happens to these cars later in life.
They also get into the reality behind battery second life, China’s move towards repairable battery design, latent manufacturing defects, Autocraft’s OptEVizer diagnostic technology and Revive mobile workshops, before looking at the bigger question of where EVs, hybrids and ICE now sit as the market and regulation continue to change.
Visit Autocraft Solutions Group: https://www.autocraftsg.com/
What’s in this episode
• Why some EV batteries are being recycled prematurely
• What Autocraft has learned from repairing more than 10,000 battery packs
• Why only a small part of a failed battery may actually need replacing
• The financial risk of an EV battery failure outside warranty
• Why battery repairability matters to the used EV market
• How battery design can make repair easier or almost impossible
• China’s move towards cell and module-level battery repairability
• Why battery second life may not be as straightforward as it sounds
• How latent manufacturing defects appear as batteries age
• Why reading the battery management system may not tell the whole story
• The launch of OptEVizer and more detailed battery diagnostics
• How Autocraft’s Revive workshops could make battery repair more accessible
• The future mix of EVs, hybrids and internal combustion engines
• What the ZEV transition means for manufacturers and the automotive supply chain
Chapters
00:00 Preview
01:43 Introducing Mike Hague-Morgan and Autocraft
03:15 From rebuilding engines to repairing EV batteries
03:39 Are we recycling EV batteries too soon?
05:36 The problem with battery second life
07:42 Why battery repairability matters
10:12 Legislation and repairable battery design
11:30 The economics of recycling
12:38 The out-of-warranty EV problem
13:58 Battery repair, risk and warranty
15:44 Testing the true health of an EV battery
18:56 Latent defects in battery manufacturing
22:14 OptEVizer and better battery diagnostics
25:53 Revive: taking battery repair closer to the vehicle
29:38 Where EVs, hybrids and ICE go next
About Future Engineering Bets
Future Engineering Bets is for CEOs, board members and private equity investors making high-stakes decisions in electrification, energy transition and advanced engineering strategy.
Get a boardroom-level view of the engineering decisions shaping billions in capital investment and defining the future of automotive and mobility.
Each episode explores the engineering, commercial and strategic realities behind electric vehicles, hybrid powertrains, emerging propulsion technologies, R&D investment, regulation, consumer demand and the changing global automotive market.
If you are responsible for product direction, capital allocation or technology strategy, this series will help you think more clearly about where to place your next bet.
Founder of 7Q Ltd: https://7q.ltd/