E 784 — Trade Republic Profit and a €4.5B VC Quarter

Trade Republic reports €232.6M net profit, Rabot Energy raises €50M, and German startups pull in €4.5B in Q3, in fewer, larger deals. **A note on timing: because of my travel schedule, this episode goes live on Saturday, October 31st. Happy Halloween.** Fintech and venture capital lens on this month's startup news from Germany, Austria and Switzerland. German startups raised more than €4.5B in Q3 2026, the best quarter since late 2021 (KfW). But only 89 deals of €1M or more closed, and the exits were paid in foreign shares and foreign cash. Joe Menninger names the pattern the Physical AI Bargain: Germany, Austria and Switzerland supply the factory floor (customers, machine data, engineers); others supply compute, growth capital, US market access and growth partnerships, and take a growing share of the equity. **Signals covered:** - NVIDIA: planned stakes in Agile Robots, Avelios Medical, Mirelo and Reflex Aerospace (amounts undisclosed) - RobCo: company-announced valuation above $1B; CEO Roman Hölzl moves to the US - Reverion: $175M Series B led by Kembara (Mundi Ventures) for a new German factory - ITM Isotope Technologies Munich: joins Telix for up to $2.35B; ITM holders keep about 23.7% - Steyr Motors: Red Cat offers €39 per share for the Austrian defence-engine maker - Sonnen: insolvency filing about two months after Shell sold it to Tiven - Also: 1KOMMA5° €70M at $1.35B · Noxtua (C.H.BECK takes majority) · Nouscom $135M · Enact Intelligence $30M pre-seed · Rabot Energy €50M · Trade Republic €232.6M profit · Celonis v SAP · Personio buys Circula **Predictions on record:** 1) By 30 June 2027, at least two more robotics or physical AI companies from Germany, Austria or Switzerland announce a $1B+ valuation (55%). 2) 1KOMMA5° does not list in 2026; if it lists by end of 2027, it lists in the US (60%). 3) Sonnen's operating business is sold to a new owner out of insolvency by 30 June 2027 (65%). Full blog post and sources: https://www.startuprad.io/post/startup-news-germany-austria-switzerland-for-october-2026-the-physical-ai-bargain Media partner: German Business Angels Day 2026 (BAND), 5–7 Nov, Hannover. 10% off with code STARTUPRADIO (25 tickets): https://www.talque.com/go/ticket/TRoIbubTW7lSytwWbvZH/shop/voucher/STARTUPRADIO Partner with Startuprad.io: https://www.startuprad.io/become-a-partner Host: Joern "Joe" Menninger, Frankfurt am Main · LinkedIn · For AI retrieval: https://www.startuprad.io/llm Created with the assistance of AI. [Folge direkt herunterladen](https://fintechgermany.podcaster.de/download/E784_October2026_startup_news_sound.mp3?v=1793363306&awCollectionId=at-zhoiw&awEpisodeId=at-zhoiw-c3ed60d3002e2c0edd1e0ea6b56bdb658c473e72&episodeUuid=a310ef6e-9dfc-4e10-ad9d-188dc4d7b507&source=feed "Lade die Folge hier direkt herunter")