FBGT - Fantasy Baseball Game Theory
Sep 25, 2026 · 33 min · 12 segments
What are you taking away from your 2026 season while everything is still fresh in your mind? This episode is all about taking advantage of this tiny window at the end of each season that can have a…
That's going to be the foundational point for your strategy in 2027.
This is not rocket science, obviously, but I think really what you're going to see is a lot of people are just so excited to get the season over with, they don't give this portion of it the attention they deserve.
Maybe you just jot down a few notes at the end of the year and you kind of turn the page, but I think there is a lot to glean if you do a deep dive and really try and think of it from a bunch of different perspectives and approaches.
At the end of the day, it's pretty simple, right? You're looking back on your standings.
You're looking back on your stats.
You're trying to figure out where you were short, where you can pat yourself on the back.
And like I said, I put these into a bunch of different sections.
So at a high level, you're looking for trends.
These can be statistical trends.
These can be player trends or roster build trends, pitching versus hitting, etc.
Think about how all of your teams at large as a whole did and try and pick out some of those commonalities, if you will.
So when you're thinking of stats, was there a scenario where this year all of your teams were average heavy but light on power? Or when we talk about pitching versus hitting, did you dominate all of your league's pitching categories but kind of come up short on hitting across the board? When I think of player skews, I'm thinking of like player shares.
Did you end up with a lot of the same guys and did that help you? Did that hurt you? What type of players were they? Were they speedsters and rabbits that you were just trying to pick out from the pile thinking that they stood out like a Chandler Simpson? Is it just kind of a big heavy hitter that maybe didn't do it for you? Maybe it was a guy like Jordan Alvarez who everybody was kind of fading early.
And in actuality and in hindsight, it proved to be very silly.
These are the kind of the starting, the jumping off points for me at a very high level.
I think when you take this one step farther, it is more beyond the stats.
There's approaches to this, right? I think of the different draft tools that I use over the course of a season.
Maybe there isn't a draft tool at all.
Maybe I was just kind of drafting off the cuff like I
did for most of
my gladiators.
What projection sets did you use? Did you start with Steamer? How did you do with Steamer when you started to mix in other projections? Did you get better? Did you get worse? That's such an important thing to think about, especially volume drafters.
You spend all season just kind of churning through drafts, and you don't realize it, but the data set is always changing.
The ADP is changing.
The projections are changing.
That's going to be the foundational point for your strategy in 2027.
This is not rocket science, obviously, but I think really what you're going to see is a lot of people are just so excited to get the season over with, they don't give this portion of it the attention they deserve.
Maybe you just jot down a few notes at the end of the year and you kind of turn the page, but I think there is a lot to glean if you do a deep dive and really try and think of it from a bunch of different perspectives and approaches.
At the end of the day, it's pretty simple, right? You're looking back on your standings.
You're looking back on your stats.
You're trying to figure out where you were short, where you can pat yourself on the back.
And like I said, I put these into a bunch of different sections.
So at a high level, you're looking for trends.
These can be statistical trends.
These can be player trends or roster build trends, pitching versus hitting, etc.
Think about how all of your teams at large as a whole did and try and pick out some of those commonalities, if you will.
So when you're thinking of stats, was there a scenario where this year all of your teams were average heavy but light on power? Or when we talk about pitching versus hitting, did you dominate all of your league's pitching categories but kind of come up short on hitting across the board? When I think of player skews, I'm thinking of like player shares.
Did you end up with a lot of the same guys and did that help you? Did that hurt you? What type of players were they? Were they speedsters and rabbits that you were just trying to pick out from the pile thinking that they stood out like a Chandler Simpson? Is it just kind of a big heavy hitter that maybe didn't do it for you? Maybe it was a guy like Jordan Alvarez who everybody was kind of fading early.
And in actuality and in hindsight, it proved to be very silly.
These are the kind of the starting, the jumping off points for me at a very high level.
I think when you take this one step farther, it is more beyond the stats.
There's approaches to this, right? I think of the different draft tools that I use over the course of a season.
Maybe there isn't a draft tool at all.
Maybe I was just kind of drafting off the cuff like I
did for most of
my gladiators.
What projection sets did you use? Did you start with Steamer? How did you do with Steamer when you started to mix in other projections? Did you get better? Did you get worse? That's such an important thing to think about, especially volume drafters.
You spend all season just kind of churning through drafts, and you don't realize it, but the data set is always changing.
The ADP is changing.
The projections are changing.
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