Ernstfall – What if Russia Attacks NATO? Inside a German Wargame
Jul 22, 2026 · 44 min · 14 segments
Inside a German Wargame The wargame is heading toward a decisive moment. In our fictional scenario, Russian troops are digging in. And Europe is struggling to find a response that neither triggers…
Karolina DrüthenHost
Franz-Stefan GadyGuest
Eberhard ZornGuest
Philipp Jan SchäferGuest
Christiane HoffmannGuest
Roderich KiesewetterGuest
Nico LangeGuest
Arndt Freytag von LoringhovenGuest
Irene MihalicGuestJosef WerbovskýGuest
Radomir KotGuest
Raimundas VaitkusGuestJeff RathkeGuest
Arunas KumpisGuest
Russia has invaded Lithuania and established a military corridor, but it is presenting that operation to the world as a humanitarian mission, complete with a carefully staged aid convoy.

The blue team responded with tough economic sanctions, an attempt to stop Russia's shadow fleet in the Baltic Sea, and a declaration of a state of tension.

Reservists are being called up, among other things, to help protect critical infrastructure.

But the alliance's strongest instrument is still not being used, NATO's Article 5.

Germany and its European allies are now having to respond without clear American backing, while Moscow tries to exploit every division it can find.

Russia has also countered NATO's move in the Baltic Sea by sending warships to escort its shadow fleet.

How far is Germany prepared to go if Article 5 is never invoked? Several options are on the table.

At the same time, NATO Secretary General is trying to activate the alliance's regional defense plans without formally invoking Article 5.

Russia has invaded Lithuania and established a military corridor, but it is presenting that operation to the world as a humanitarian mission, complete with a carefully staged aid convoy.

The blue team responded with tough economic sanctions, an attempt to stop Russia's shadow fleet in the Baltic Sea, and a declaration of a state of tension.

Reservists are being called up, among other things, to help protect critical infrastructure.

But the alliance's strongest instrument is still not being used, NATO's Article 5.

Germany and its European allies are now having to respond without clear American backing, while Moscow tries to exploit every division it can find.

Russia has also countered NATO's move in the Baltic Sea by sending warships to escort its shadow fleet.

How far is Germany prepared to go if Article 5 is never invoked? Several options are on the table.

At the same time, NATO Secretary General is trying to activate the alliance's regional defense plans without formally invoking Article 5.
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