AntiVestor - Trading The Stock Market & Income Trading
Sep 16, 2026 · 9 min · 7 segments
https://youtu.be/PvosZbUNoRE Fed Day often brings historical volatility to the markets. Learn to analyse price action as we approach critical levels. This analysis…
Phil NewtonHost
Now, most of the time these days, the odds, like, they're odds enhancing for my premium pop ascen- setups, and the pre and post moves are often a non-starter.
That is unless there is a rate change, and you can see that in the, uh, the little purple line just here.
So unless there's a rate change, which is what we've got here, rate connect this.
So if there's a rate change, [sighs] then there's gonna be some movement, but it's still inside of the normal range of movement.
And the only time that the market quite literally, funny fingers time, shits the beds, is when there's a genuinely unexpected announcement.
Like, it's unexpected, it's not announced, it's not predicted, it's not forecasted.
So take that out the equation, like all the moves are with inside the normal range of movements.
Now, the almanac has 147 scheduled Fed meetings since March 2008, and only 20 announced a rate hike amongst them.
So on the day itself, those 20 were down 13, up 7, and broadly, hmm, kind of nothing.
So the day after is the, what we're going to assess when the market's essentially digested what's going on, what's the implications? And perhaps it's not the, the rate hike, perhaps it's the, uh, the guidance, the announcements, the what's gonna happen in the next month, the next quarter, the forecasting elements of the announcements.
And again, weakness around the Fed meeting is usually a buy the dip, and a rate hike is the exception.
Again, everyone's really scared of these types of days, but the reality is it's just another day.
Now, most of the time these days, the odds, like, they're odds enhancing for my premium pop ascen- setups, and the pre and post moves are often a non-starter.
That is unless there is a rate change, and you can see that in the, uh, the little purple line just here.
So unless there's a rate change, which is what we've got here, rate connect this.
So if there's a rate change, [sighs] then there's gonna be some movement, but it's still inside of the normal range of movement.
And the only time that the market quite literally, funny fingers time, shits the beds, is when there's a genuinely unexpected announcement.
Like, it's unexpected, it's not announced, it's not predicted, it's not forecasted.
So take that out the equation, like all the moves are with inside the normal range of movements.
Now, the almanac has 147 scheduled Fed meetings since March 2008, and only 20 announced a rate hike amongst them.
So on the day itself, those 20 were down 13, up 7, and broadly, hmm, kind of nothing.
So the day after is the, what we're going to assess when the market's essentially digested what's going on, what's the implications? And perhaps it's not the, the rate hike, perhaps it's the, uh, the guidance, the announcements, the what's gonna happen in the next month, the next quarter, the forecasting elements of the announcements.
And again, weakness around the Fed meeting is usually a buy the dip, and a rate hike is the exception.
Again, everyone's really scared of these types of days, but the reality is it's just another day.
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