Episode 12: Is AI Regulation Actually Coming? Probably not from Washington.

And today, I want to talk about regulation.

And the reason why is obviously a lot of people want regulation to happen of the AI industry.

And that's because there has been a whole host of things that have happened that basically caused us not to trust AI companies.

And so with that in mind, whether it's cybersecurity challenges, data centers, flock, job displacement, dismay with frontier models, AI slot.

IPO hype, whatever it might be, there's a lot of AI needs to be reined in.

So how likely is that to happen? First of all, given the United States and our current regulatory environment, And also, where will it happen? And when can we expect that to occur? It did write a substack on this.

I'll include it on the show notes if you want to go read in depth.

But in general, I would say on a federal level in the United States, I would not expect any regulation of substance to occur within the next two years.

And that's because of the current political environment.

We're all aware of the situation, regardless of which side of the fence we sit on.

Clearly, Congress is not functional.

People aren't working together to find common solutions.

There's a lot of disinformation out there as well, and it's all creating massive issues for folks that are trying to get things done.

And so whether it's the administration itself trying to force regulation by fiat or through its various agencies, or it's Congress, I don't think you're going to see anything beyond just like these haphazard things where we've seen like mythos, for example, by Anthropic, their frontier model delayed for a few weeks or the administration telling people what they can produce and not produce as far as algorithms that'll work with the Department of Defense.

And you're seeing that also with Anthropic.

There are a few reasons beyond just the dysfunction.

One of those reasons is actually the big tech players are pretty prevalent and lobbying Congress right now.

And you can see that with the way some of these regulations to date have been written and the amount of influence that we see from These tech moguls that are interacting with Trump.

And then the other thing that can also really stop regulation from happening, particularly directly from the administration itself, which isn't necessarily incentivized to do it, as we know, this administration, trying to phrase my words carefully, lean towards Trump.

supporting corporations as opposed to individual freedoms.

And we've even seen that with privacy and IP online, where they basically feel like LLMs have the right to scrape anybody's content to train.

But the entanglements that occur afterwards in the justice system and all the different court cases and the orders are getting struck down or delayed or escalated up to the Supreme Court, it's a hot mess.