11,000 Nurses Short: The Aged Care Policy That Can't Be Met

But mate, you've said there's no universe, and we're talking about care minutes here-

Mm-hmm

... where the system has enough RNs to deliver 44 minutes of care per resident per day.

Yeah, that's not actually me saying that.

That's the department.

So the department did, uh, modeling 2024.

Mm-hmm.

Um, and their modeling says that we're 11,000 FTEs short of RNs right now.

Uh-

Right now, not-

2026.

Wow.

And-

And that's before even meeting the care minutes currently set.

That's, uh, that's relative to demand.

Yeah.

So that's, they did supply and demand modeling, so that's probably presuming that we're meeting, um, you know, meeting those care minutes, um, for all the people and, and probably not having tons of people stuck in hospital.

Yeah.

But they forecast that that goes from 11,000 to 18,000 by 2035.

So that problem's getting worse, not better, over the next, uh, you know, 10 years.

Uh, so we're...

I don't think it's controversial then to say that we can't do it, you know? We're, and all, they modeled all the specialties of nursing.

None of them have a surplus.

None of them are meeting demand either.

So we can't pinch nurses from acute care to do it.

But mate, you've said there's no universe, and we're talking about care minutes here-

Mm-hmm

... where the system has enough RNs to deliver 44 minutes of care per resident per day.

Yeah, that's not actually me saying that.

That's the department.

So the department did, uh, modeling 2024.

Mm-hmm.

Um, and their modeling says that we're 11,000 FTEs short of RNs right now.

Uh-

Right now, not-

2026.

Wow.

And-

And that's before even meeting the care minutes currently set.

That's, uh, that's relative to demand.

Yeah.

So that's, they did supply and demand modeling, so that's probably presuming that we're meeting, um, you know, meeting those care minutes, um, for all the people and, and probably not having tons of people stuck in hospital.

Yeah.

But they forecast that that goes from 11,000 to 18,000 by 2035.

So that problem's getting worse, not better, over the next, uh, you know, 10 years.

Uh, so we're...

I don't think it's controversial then to say that we can't do it, you know? We're, and all, they modeled all the specialties of nursing.

None of them have a surplus.

None of them are meeting demand either.

So we can't pinch nurses from acute care to do it.