
When Prophecy Fails
Book by Henry Riecken, Leon Festinger, and Stanley SchachterWikipedia
4
MENTIONS
3
EPISODES
3
PODCASTS
Search complete. 4 mentions across 3 episodes found for "When Prophecy Fails".
Sep 7, 2026
The Power of Us: Dr. Jay Van Bavel on Social Identity and The Power of Dissent
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3:27Stephen HassanHOST
And in the book, you talk about a famous cult that contributed to the development of my model, the Byte model.
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3:36Stephen HassanHOST
You talk about Leon Festinger's work, When Prophecy Fails, about a UFO cult.
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3:44Stephen HassanHOST
And it was that cognitive dissonance theory that formed the basis for my BITE model.
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3:49Stephen HassanHOST
Thoughts, feelings, behaviors, people want to align.
25 MINS LATER
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29:04Jay Van BavelGUEST
And through the day, we rotate through a bunch of these.
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29:06Jay Van BavelGUEST
Now, if you're very...
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29:07Jay Van BavelGUEST
One of the things that... any immersive group does culture the most extreme case but they cut you off from other sources of your identity your family your friends your job and so they become the only identity that gets triggered and activated in your mind in every day and then they become a stronger and stronger part of your your identity and this reminds me of like one of the the key things that predicted um In the book, When Prophecy Fails, whether people persisted to proselytize about the cult after the alien ship never came and their prophecy was proven false, there was a bunch of conditions.
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29:46Jay Van BavelGUEST
But the two big ones that stuck to me that I think really hold is how extreme they were in their commitment to the belief system and the cult.
And, This Is How Not To Invest In Crypto With Ben McKenzie
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40:35Gavin NewsomHOST
Mm-hmm.
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40:35Ben McKenzieGUEST
Um, there's a great sociological paper called, um, When Prophecy Fails, about what happens to members of a cult when the cult leader's prophecy doesn't come true.
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40:45Ben McKenzieGUEST
You know, the world doesn't end.
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40:47Ben McKenzieGUEST
Do they renounce the faith? No.
Lecture 2: Mental Models and Sense-Making
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19:49speaker_1HOST
Yes.
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19:50speaker_1HOST
The study that became the book When Prophecy Fails.
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19:53speaker_0HOST
This story is wild.
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19:55speaker_0HOST
There was a cult leader named Marion who predicted the exact date and time that a flying saucer would arrive to rescue her followers before a great flood destroyed the world.