Twenty Twenty Six

So I went to dinner with some very smart Democrat consultants friends of mine who I haven't seen in a bit of time.

And really we were in an environment where we were just talking freely No names because we're going to keep it--you know I don't wanna burn anybody but the conversation was good Because we were talking about the midterms and the funny thing is Sometimes sometimes Democrats are surprised that Republicans also read data So I was asking them What do your internal polls look like for the generic ballot Now I have no candidates in the Twenty Twenty Six election I'm not consulting anybody so it's not like I'm doing this For a client and They feel like It was against their clients It's not like that There's general conversation And they were like well I don't know And I'm like Somewhere between six and eight right And they go yeah About that Which is what basically Every poll is saying D plus six To D plus eight But I said Yeah but you know Every election Except for twenty eighteen And I believe Twenty twenty two Polls underestimated Republican turnout By about An average Of three points And they were like Wow That's true That's true I'm like I know it's true That's why I said it Like I mean I read Data just As often As you do But here's Where the gossip Got good Um and they Were talking Amongst themselves I was kind of More eavesdropping During this part Of the conversation They were Talking about An ad campaign In the twenty twenty four Presidential Election This blew my mind Democrats spent Upwards of One hundred million Dollars I think Number Was actually Closer Two Hundred Million Dollars On ads Attacking Trump For wanting to Deport illegal Immigrants Thinking it would Swing especially Latino voters But all Voters They did polling after The Ad spend Happened and afterwards They found Out that voters Were more Likely to vote For trump Than Before they had Saw the ad And it was a democrat ad I mean couldn't stop laughing I was like this Is amazing But then We started talking About the jewish Vote lot Conversations and Questions about Tucker Carlson And whatnot And they Said that This is Amazing like Don't disbelieve It but it's Amazing Even among more Center left Jews I want say Far Left but Central left Jews Criticisms of Israel Are more Negatively Interpreted Than Supporting Reparations for blacks Which is one of the worst Polling issues there Is if you hear Politicians Say I Want reparations For blacks It Has like an Eighteen Percent approval Rating it isn' Overwhelming It is like Boys and girls Sports it is Culture war Lightning rod That no one Likes so that Very interesting Like that was Very very Interesting and they Were talking About How The Jewish vote has been progressively moving towards Republicans, and they think...

You know, a lot of college-educated people, which a lot of Jews are college educated just do not like Trump's personality.

They found him too gauche.