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Tiffany Shaw

Tiffany Shaw

Scientist

Sep 28, 2026

6:32
Thank you.
6:34
Sure, happy to talk about that.
6:35
So the history of climate prediction follows on the shoulders of the history of numerical weather prediction.
6:42
At its beginning, it was a physics-based prediction, understanding the physical laws that govern the behavior of the atmosphere and codifying those in partial differential equations, which could then be solved on supercomputers as they began to be available.
6:57
So climate prediction is a longer term prediction, though.
6:59
So we're not talking about just knowing the atmospheric state at a given time with a high degree of accuracy, but also how we would say boundary conditions or boundary forcings evolve.
7:10
This is where the carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases come in.

20 MINS LATER

27:13
And it turned out that actually with AI, because again, it makes models faster, it actually has been very helpful in more quickly getting people to be able to work together.
6:32
Thank you.
6:34
Sure, happy to talk about that.
6:35
So the history of climate prediction follows on the shoulders of the history of numerical weather prediction.
6:42
At its beginning, it was a physics-based prediction, understanding the physical laws that govern the behavior of the atmosphere and codifying those in partial differential equations, which could then be solved on supercomputers as they began to be available.
6:57
So climate prediction is a longer term prediction, though.
6:59
So we're not talking about just knowing the atmospheric state at a given time with a high degree of accuracy, but also how we would say boundary conditions or boundary forcings evolve.
7:10
This is where the carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases come in.

20 MINS LATER

27:13
And it turned out that actually with AI, because again, it makes models faster, it actually has been very helpful in more quickly getting people to be able to work together.
6:32
Thank you.
6:34
Sure, happy to talk about that.
6:35
So the history of climate prediction follows on the shoulders of the history of numerical weather prediction.
6:42
At its beginning, it was a physics-based prediction, understanding the physical laws that govern the behavior of the atmosphere and codifying those in partial differential equations, which could then be solved on supercomputers as they began to be available.
6:57
So climate prediction is a longer term prediction, though.
6:59
So we're not talking about just knowing the atmospheric state at a given time with a high degree of accuracy, but also how we would say boundary conditions or boundary forcings evolve.
7:10
This is where the carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases come in.

20 MINS LATER

27:13
And it turned out that actually with AI, because again, it makes models faster, it actually has been very helpful in more quickly getting people to be able to work together.

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