SI base unit

They're not all just questions.

Some of it is back to the old mailbag.

So not everyone has a kind of red hot burning question buried in the middle of it.

So John's right then.

All the big questions.

To the

mailbag.

And beyond.

Indeed, lithium production has increased by a factor of 16 over 27 years.

Now, this is supply and not demand, but of course, because of market forces, the two are generally tracking fairly close together during this time.

For example, supply really takes off in response to demand just after 2016 as the first truly mass-produced EV, the Tesla Model 3, enters the marketplace.

Looking at this trend, it's clearly not well described by a linear slope or even a quadratic curve.

So is there a simple mathematical fit? Technology development often starts with an initial phase of exponential growth, so let's try that here.

Combining projected supplies that are operational, probable and even possible, one can see that projected supply should be on track to match demand out to 2028.

Again, I'm showing you here three lines for three different sources for these projections.

And that's interesting because it means that lithium supply should ramp up even faster than the exponential that we've seen in the past and hints at just how transitional the phase we're entering really is.

Is that the right kind of image?

It's actually two funnels.

There is an information reduction from the bottom to the top, right? So you think of my example I use as weather reporting that when you turn on the TV to get the weather forecast.

You'll see a meteorologist showing satellite images and graphics showing temperatures, cloud cover, precipitation.

That's tertiary level information.

So one of the things that you, we talked about was geomantics that own mapping and that is the wage.

present to the decision makers.

So where do you see the role of AI, for example? Because for the last two years, I ask every guest, where do you see the role of AI? Because I can imagine there could be.

Like that's a public-private thing right there.

And that's how I see these different proposals actually contributing to a future.

But I made a little summary up front of these ideas and These are the four or five, I guess it's five, future governance camps.

That's what I wanted to know, like the four or five systems of ideas that these guys are coming out with that are, you know, competing for space, but they're not.

Okay, there are two camps, technocratic utopians and authoritarian realists.

So I think some of these future governance camps fall into each of those things, so we'll get into that.

The visionaries in all of these camps disagree on who should run the world, but...

In Silicon Valley, what's often referred to as the San Francisco consensus is that traditional 20th century democratic institutions are fundamentally ill-equipped for the speed, scale, and economic disruption that super intelligent AI will bring.