Rufus Peabody

Unless you got Sydney Sweeney on your side, unless you got Sydney Sweeney, then for some reason, guys, this one, I bet I doesn't make sense to me, but, but what's not hard to find or, or, probably nowadays not that hard to find probably was hard to find is the makers, especially the institutional makers.

So that's like, you know, your, your SIGs, your, your you know, Rufus, John, we had a show and you know, the, like the guys who are, are posting these lines and taking your bets and, And so thinking about it from like a poker or DFS perspective, like one of the attractive things that DFS was for me anyways, coming from poker was like I like maxed out at like 10 tables.

Like I would play 20 tables at once in poker, but I was probably losing money and shouldn't have been doing that.

And 10 was even rough.

So it really doesn't matter all of that much.

I think where prediction markets win is the in-between, the rec plus better or whatever you want to call it.

You could still maybe beat whoever, GP or Rufus on WNBA rebounds or something.

I'm sure there's markets where they're not extra time where they might be putting money on.

Convert it into probabilities.

Think about it in terms of probabilities, right? And them understanding how hard this is, right? Understanding how hard someone like Rufus Peabody has to work and the logistics he has to manage to handle all of this.

The, uh...

And we, fortunately, we had Bill Benter, who lives just a few minutes away from CMU, famous horse reading, horse racing betting, uh, expert, who's a billionaire in terms of, you know, the coverage of how much he's won.

And, uh-

He, he would argue with Rufus.

He was arguing with other better...

He was arguing with everyone, seemingly everyone.

Uh, I hate to even bring this up.

I, uh, like, it's, it's in the past now.

But I remember when Rufus, Rufus Peabody, one of the most successful bettors nowadays, uh, modern-day bettors, someone I highly respect, when he started giving his projections to, it was either Underdog or Establish The Run.

I can't remember exactly what it was.

On this week's Bet The Process podcast, Rufus and I have on one of our favorites, Kevin Clark, who talks a lot of great NFL in a way that really nobody else does.

We didn't even ask him about prediction markets.

We should have.

Crunching all the numbers in a simulated system, that break down the data analytically driven.

Media coverage of sports gambling is pathetic.

Welcome to another episode of the Bet The Process podcast, where Rufus is in a corner.

Nobody puts Rufus in a corner, except for when Rufus is in a corner.

I'm in a side now.

We actually just are just

Rufus and I, and we get deep on some interesting topics like self-work and consciousness and all of that.

We talk a little bit about the NFL and our early reactions for week one.

As always, this podcast that we don't have Sydney Sweeney on is sponsored by Novig, who is making hay.

Media coverage of sports gambling.

Welcome to another episode of the Bet the Process podcast.

Rufus is in New York.

What's going on in New York, Rufus? Is it this fall

I cannot believe the way they fumbled the bag with this collection of prospects.

That was that argument I got in with Rufus, my m- our, our friend Rufus Peabody, who, like me, grew up as a Washingtonian but with no baseball team, so we were all Orioles fans growing up.

Mm-hmm.

And he's still a big Orioles fan.