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PredictIt

PredictIt

Search complete. 5 mentions across 4 episodes found for "PredictIt".

Sep 9, 2026

Mike HoskingHOST
13:17
Uh, the betting apps are sort of the new TAB.
Mike HoskingHOST
13:20
Your Polymarkets, your Kelces, your BetMGM, your DraftKings, your Predictit, your Novigs, your Crypto.coms. N- We've never been betting more than we have, particularly in America, and all the big names are on board.
Mike HoskingHOST
13:31
Tom Brady, Wayne Gretzky, Derek Jeter, Shaq, Ronkowski, Jerry Rice, Andy Roddick, Charles Barkley, DeChambeau, the Manning brothers, Ronaldo, Usain Bolt, Ruud Kleinpaste.
Mike HoskingHOST
13:40
Actually, no, I made that last name up.
G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
39:21
Yeah, I mean, people have been making up polling for some time.
G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
39:27
Uh, I remember some cases in the 2018 primary cycle of, uh, users of the prediction market platform PredictIt talking on private chat groups, conspiring to create fake Twitter accounts that then would publish alleged surveys.
G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
39:45
Uh, and the intent there was to manufacture a price movement into prediction markets.
G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
39:50
So that has happened in every election cycle since then.
MikePANELIST
8:46
But more broadly, they tend not to align, meaning it's reasonable to expect and the market right now expects, you can see in...
MikePANELIST
8:55
There are many ways of seeing this, but if you wanna simplify, go to Calci or Predictit or whatever, um, that the Fed is expected to hike rates later this year, meaning tighten liquidity.
MikePANELIST
9:06
And that in turn is seen, if it happens, as being a credibility bolstering mechanism.
MikePANELIST
9:13
So those two things would be expected to work against exactly what we just talked about, right? I'm only explaining that to say-
Dustin GoukerHOST
71:57
Yeah.
Dustin GoukerHOST
71:57
It's, I mean, it's funny 'cause th- that, that's what this-- Well, that's how it all s- well, not how it all started, but like 10 years ago, you could go to PredictIt and you could trade on who would, or bet on who would win, win elections and, like, we've had, had this on a very much smaller scale before 2024 when obviously we saw this explosion around, uh, around Trump/Harris.
Dustin GoukerHOST
72:14
I guess what, th- this leads to the question then, like what, what do you think we should have in prediction markets? It sounds like no sports.
Dustin GoukerHOST
72:20
It sounds like you're maybe iffy on elections.
Aaron KleinGUEST
72:24
Well, I think...
Aaron KleinGUEST
72:25
So it's a, it's a very good question.
Aaron KleinGUEST
72:27
Uh, I think that's an area where you need more research, right? Uh, uh, um, I believe PredictIt had a $100 cap.
Dustin GoukerHOST
72:34
Yeah.

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