PredictIt
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Search complete. 5 mentions across 4 episodes found for "PredictIt".
Sep 9, 2026
Full Show Podcast: 10 September 2026
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13:17Mike HoskingHOST
Uh, the betting apps are sort of the new TAB.
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13:20Mike HoskingHOST
Your Polymarkets, your Kelces, your BetMGM, your DraftKings, your Predictit, your Novigs, your Crypto.coms. N- We've never been betting more than we have, particularly in America, and all the big names are on board.
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13:31Mike HoskingHOST
Tom Brady, Wayne Gretzky, Derek Jeter, Shaq, Ronkowski, Jerry Rice, Andy Roddick, Charles Barkley, DeChambeau, the Manning brothers, Ronaldo, Usain Bolt, Ruud Kleinpaste.
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13:40Mike HoskingHOST
Actually, no, I made that last name up.
Charlie Sykes & G. Elliott Morris
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39:21G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
Yeah, I mean, people have been making up polling for some time.
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39:27G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
Uh, I remember some cases in the 2018 primary cycle of, uh, users of the prediction market platform PredictIt talking on private chat groups, conspiring to create fake Twitter accounts that then would publish alleged surveys.
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39:45G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
Uh, and the intent there was to manufacture a price movement into prediction markets.
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39:50G. Elliott MorrisGUEST
So that has happened in every election cycle since then.
Game Souk 60 | August 20th 2026
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8:46MikePANELIST
But more broadly, they tend not to align, meaning it's reasonable to expect and the market right now expects, you can see in...
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8:55MikePANELIST
There are many ways of seeing this, but if you wanna simplify, go to Calci or Predictit or whatever, um, that the Fed is expected to hike rates later this year, meaning tighten liquidity.
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9:06MikePANELIST
And that in turn is seen, if it happens, as being a credibility bolstering mechanism.
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9:13MikePANELIST
So those two things would be expected to work against exactly what we just talked about, right? I'm only explaining that to say-
Episode 28: Prediction Market Policy With Aaron Klein Of The Brookings Institution
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71:57Dustin GoukerHOST
Yeah.
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71:57Dustin GoukerHOST
It's, I mean, it's funny 'cause th- that, that's what this-- Well, that's how it all s- well, not how it all started, but like 10 years ago, you could go to PredictIt and you could trade on who would, or bet on who would win, win elections and, like, we've had, had this on a very much smaller scale before 2024 when obviously we saw this explosion around, uh, around Trump/Harris.
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72:14Dustin GoukerHOST
I guess what, th- this leads to the question then, like what, what do you think we should have in prediction markets? It sounds like no sports.
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72:20Dustin GoukerHOST
It sounds like you're maybe iffy on elections.
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72:24Aaron KleinGUEST
Well, I think...
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72:25Aaron KleinGUEST
So it's a, it's a very good question.
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72:27Aaron KleinGUEST
Uh, I think that's an area where you need more research, right? Uh, uh, um, I believe PredictIt had a $100 cap.
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72:34Dustin GoukerHOST
Yeah.